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Smurfit Westrock stock upgraded by RBC, targets $400M+ in synergy benefits

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 31/10/2024, 08:06
SW
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On Thursday, RBC Capital Markets adjusted its stance on Smurfit Westrock (LON:SWR) (NYSE: SW), elevating the stock's rating from Sector Perform to Outperform and increasing the price target to $58 from the previous $52. The upgrade follows Smurfit Westrock's recent quarterly updates, which highlighted several positive developments within the company.

According to RBC Capital, Smurfit Westrock has successfully checked three critical boxes that signal a robust operational performance. These include a satisfactory pace of execution on integration, a de-risked near-term outlook for capital expenditures, and a confirmation from management that they see potential to significantly exceed their initial synergy targets, with an incremental benefit of over $400 million.

The analyst's comments reflect optimism about the company's future, as Smurfit Westrock's stock experienced a notable 12.0% increase, outperforming the S&P 500, which saw a slight decline of 0.3%. This positive market reaction is attributed to the company's updates that were well received by investors.

RBC Capital's outlook suggests that there is further room for the stock to grow. The firm anticipates that Smurfit Westrock's continued focus on cost savings, efficiencies, and commercial strategy will drive the stock's performance in the market.

The revised price target of $58 represents RBC Capital's expectation for Smurfit Westrock's share value, based on the company's recent progress and future prospects in executing its business plan and achieving cost synergies.

In other recent news, Smurfit Westrock reported a net loss in its third quarter, following the merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock (NYSE:WRK). The company's revenue also fell short of expectations, with a rise to $7.67 billion from $2.92 billion a year ago, primarily due to the WestRock acquisition. However, this was less than the projected $8.13 billion. The net loss of $150 million, or $0.30 per share, compares to a net income of $229 million, or $0.89 per share, in the same period last year.

Adjusted earnings of $0.72 per share did not meet analyst estimates. The company attributed the net loss mainly to transaction-related expenses and purchase accounting adjustments totaling approximately $500 million. Despite these results, Smurfit Westrock's adjusted EBITDA, a key profitability metric, was reported at $1.27 billion, with a margin of 16.5%. The company anticipates a combined adjusted EBITDA of approximately $4.7 billion for the full year 2024. These are notable recent developments for Smurfit Westrock.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro adds weight to RBC Capital's optimistic outlook on Smurfit Westrock (NYSE: SW). The company's market capitalization stands at $25.94 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the packaging industry. Smurfit Westrock's revenue growth is particularly noteworthy, with a 28.78% increase over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, and an impressive 159.38% quarterly growth in Q3 2024. This robust revenue expansion aligns with the positive execution highlighted by RBC Capital.

InvestingPro Tips further support the bullish sentiment. One tip indicates that analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year, which dovetails with the company's recent strong performance. Additionally, Smurfit Westrock is trading near its 52-week high, with a significant return of 58.37% over the last year, suggesting strong market confidence in the company's direction.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 6 additional tips that could provide deeper insights into Smurfit Westrock's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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