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Silgan Holdings stock volume decline 'priced in' - Citi

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/07/2024, 11:32
SLGN
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On Monday, Silgan Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SLGN) stock received an upgrade from Citi from Neutral to Buy, with a new price target set at $50. This change comes as analysts at Citi revised their models in anticipation of the second quarter earnings, noting a general decrease in estimates. They observed that the average estimate for the quarter has dropped by 3%, aligning with Citi's own predictions which are also 3% below the consensus.

The upgrade is based on the expectation that the market has already adjusted for potential negative guidance, considering the significant drop in Silgan's share price over the past month.

Analysts pointed out that mid-single-digit percentage volume declines at some consumer packaged goods customers have persisted through June, coupled with indications of a slowdown in short cycle industrial sectors.

Citi's analysts highlighted Silgan's current valuation as a compelling reason for the upgrade, with the stock trading at a considerable discount at 8.5 times the next twelve months' estimated EBITDA, compared to its 10-year average of 9.2 times. They believe that the stock is oversold and anticipate a positive reaction from the market if the company reaffirms its full-year earnings per share guidance.

The financial institution's stance on Silgan reflects a search for value within a group of stocks that have recently been under pressure. With the market's low expectations for the upcoming second quarter results, Citi sees an opportunity for Silgan's shares to appreciate in value.

The firm's analysis suggests that despite the recent downturn in share price and broader concerns about volume declines and industrial weakness, Silgan's financial outlook remains solid enough to warrant a Buy rating.

In other recent news, Silgan Holdings has been the subject of significant developments. The company has confirmed its second-quarter earnings guidance to be between $0.82 and $0.92 and its full-year 2024 forecast to remain within the $3.55 to $3.75 range.

Despite a softer market for Metal Containers, Silgan expects growth in its Dispensing & Specialty Closures (D&SC) and Custom Containers divisions. Truist Securities maintains a Buy rating for Silgan, indicating a positive stance on the stock's future performance.

Silgan's Board of Directors has also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share, marking the eighty-first consecutive quarter that Silgan has paid a cash dividend on its common stock. This illustrates the company's consistent return of value to its shareholders.

Lastly, Silgan Holdings reported a robust financial outcome for the first quarter of 2024, meeting the upper range of its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) forecast. Despite a 7% decline in net sales, the company delivered strong adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted net income per diluted share. These are recent developments in the company's operations.

InvestingPro Insights

Following Citi's upgrade of Silgan Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SLGN) to a Buy rating, recent data from InvestingPro underscores several points that may interest investors. Silgan's aggressive approach to share buybacks, as noted in one of the InvestingPro Tips, aligns with Citi's take on the company's valuation and potential for share price appreciation. Additionally, the company boasts a high shareholder yield and has a notable track record of raising its dividend for 21 consecutive years, which may reassure investors looking for steady income alongside capital gains.

InvestingPro Data also sheds light on Silgan's financial health, with a market capitalization of $4.41 billion USD and a P/E ratio that appears attractive at 13.73 when adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. Despite a -7.84% revenue growth during the same period, the company has managed to maintain a solid gross profit margin of 16.61%. Moreover, Silgan's dividend yield stands at 1.84%, which is appealing to income-focused investors, especially in light of the company's consistent dividend growth, most recently at 5.56%.

For those intrigued by these insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that could further inform investment decisions. These include analysis on valuation, profitability, and stock volatility. To explore these further and gain a competitive edge, consider using the promo code UK10 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro. With more tips awaiting at https://www.investing.com/pro/SLGN, investors can deepen their understanding of Silgan's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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