On Wednesday, Roth/MKM adjusted their financial expectations for Mama's Creations (NASDAQ: MAMA) shares, increasing the price target to $8.50 from the previous $6.50. The firm retained a Buy rating on the stock, following a robust first-quarter performance that surpassed their forecasts.
Mama's Creations reported revenue and adjusted EBITDA figures at $29.8 million and $2.5 million, respectively, outperforming Roth/MKM's projections of $26.1 million in revenue and $2.2 million in EBITDA.
Although the company's GAAP EPS of $0.01 fell short of the $0.02 estimate, a one-time settlement agreement costing $900,000, which impacted EPS by $0.02, was identified as a contributing factor. This settlement was related to discrepancies in options reportedly granted by Mama's Creations in 2018 and 2019.
In light of the first-quarter results, Roth/MKM has made slight revisions to their full-year forecasts for 2025 and 2026. For FY25, the firm has incorporated the first-quarter's financial outperformance and anticipates a shift in some EBITDA to the second half of the year. The management's recent price adjustments, aimed at mitigating the impact of heightened chicken and other input costs, are expected to fully benefit the latter half of 2025.
Additionally, investments in capital expenditures and automation, which were recently put into place, are projected to yield full benefits in the second half of 2025. This operational enhancement is part of the rationale behind the raised expectations.
For FY26, Roth/MKM anticipates slight increases in both revenue and EBITDA, reflecting a positive outlook for Mama's Creations' financial trajectory over the next two years.
In other recent news, Mama's Creations reported a robust 29% revenue growth during the first quarter of the fiscal year 2025. The company's strategic initiatives, such as operational improvements and market expansion, have contributed to increased operational efficiency and gross margins. Despite the impact of commodity price inflation, investments in automation and efficiency are being made to sustain the growth momentum.
Mama's Creations is also expanding its product offerings and distribution channels, with ongoing discussions with major retailers like Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT). The company's focus on new products, cross-selling, and potential mergers and acquisitions is expected to further its presence in the deli space.
CEO Adam L. Michaels anticipates gross margin improvements in the latter half of the year, driven by pricing and the completion of capital expenditure projects. The installation of new automated machines, aimed at increasing efficiency and agility, is progressing smoothly and within budget. These recent developments underline Mama's Creations' commitment to operational excellence and its proactive approach to managing market challenges.
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