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Rosenblatt trims Microchip stock target, maintains buy rating on weaker outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 05/08/2024, 16:12
MCHP
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On Monday, Rosenblatt Securities adjusted the stock price target for Microchip Technology (NASDAQ:MCHP), a leading semiconductor company, to $90 from the previous $100 while sustaining a Buy rating on the stock. The firm cited the company's performance in the June quarter, which met expectations despite broad market challenges and inventory reductions.

However, the outlook for the upcoming September quarter is considerably weaker. Microchip anticipates the trend of inventory de-stocking to persist in the short term, with limited visibility due to short product lead times, typically around 8 weeks, and the necessity for a high level of immediate sales ("turns") to meet an expected ~7% sequential decline in sales for the September quarter.

The company's two weeks of factory shutdowns and austerity measures during the past quarter have helped to moderate the inventory situation, but inventory days are projected to rise in the September quarter. Despite the downturn, Microchip's management has been noted for its robust financial performance, which includes continued debt reduction, aggressive stock buyback programs, and a dividend strategy.

The management's commitment to return 100% of Adjusted Free Cash Flow (FCF) in the forthcoming quarters was also highlighted.

Rosenblatt's analyst remarked on Microchip's resilience in the face of a down-cycle and the company's strategic financial management. The lowered price target of $90 is based on a 26x Price-to-Earnings (P/E) multiple applied to the firm's forecasted Fiscal Year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $3.50. Despite the near-term headwinds and market instability, Rosenblatt continues to recommend Microchip as a buy for long-term investors, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.

In other recent news, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) has been active with significant developments. The company announced the release of its Flashtec NVMe 5016 controller, a solid-state drive (SSD) controller designed to enhance the performance and efficiency of data centers.

The new controller promises higher bandwidth, security, and flexibility to support cloud-based services and AI applications. It is tailored to meet the needs of AI with higher throughput for large data sets used in model training and inference processing.

On the financial front, Microchip reported a decrease in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, totaling $1.241 billion, a 6.4% drop from the previous quarter. However, the company maintained a robust non-GAAP net income of $289.9 million, with earnings per diluted share of $0.53. Looking ahead, the company provided guidance for the September quarter, expecting net sales to range between $1.12 billion and $1.18 billion.

In addition, Microchip has also announced its entry into the 64-bit embedded microprocessor market. The company anticipates benefits from early design win activity within this new market in the next 12 months. These recent developments highlight Microchip's continuous efforts to innovate and grow amidst changing market dynamics.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Rosenblatt Securities' recent price target adjustment for Microchip Technology (NASDAQ:MCHP), it's valuable to consider some additional insights from InvestingPro. According to InvestingPro data, Microchip Technology has a market capitalization of $40.51 billion and trades with a P/E ratio of 30.05, which is reflective of the market's valuation of the company's earnings. Despite a challenging environment, highlighted by a revenue decline of 24.84% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, the company has maintained a robust gross profit margin of 63.37%, showcasing the strength of its core operations.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Microchip Technology has been a consistent performer in terms of returning capital to shareholders, having raised its dividend for 23 consecutive years. This is a testament to the company's financial discipline and commitment to shareholders, aligning with the management's strategy mentioned in the article. However, analysts have expressed concerns, with 17 analysts revising their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential headwinds that may affect future performance.

For investors looking to delve deeper into Microchip Technology's financial health and future outlook, there are several additional InvestingPro Tips available at: https://www.investing.com/pro/MCHP. These tips provide a comprehensive analysis that can help investors make informed decisions based on the latest market data and trends.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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