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Raymond James sees upside in Community Bank stock with improving earnings and NIM

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 28/10/2024, 08:16
CBU
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On Monday, Raymond James made a significant adjustment to the stock rating of Community Bank System (NYSE:CBU), traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker NYSE:CBU. The firm's analyst upgraded the bank's shares from Market Perform to Strong Buy, setting a price target of $67.00. This revision reflects a positive shift in the analyst's outlook for the company's financial future.

The upgrade was attributed to an optimistic view of Community Bank System's earnings prospects. The analyst cited the expected acceleration of revenue growth in 2025 as a key factor, driven by net interest margin (NIM) expansion and fee income growth. These projections are based on modeling that anticipates a 10% core revenue growth for 2025, a substantial increase from the 5% forecast for 2024.

Community Bank System's third-quarter results were noted to have fallen slightly short of expectations, primarily due to expenses which concealed otherwise positive revenue trends. Despite this, the firm’s analyst believes that the bank's profitability is on an upward trajectory.

The bank's three fee-based businesses—Employee Benefits, Insurance, and Wealth Management—were highlighted as contributors to the strong growth outlook. The analyst expects these divisions to continue to bolster the bank's overall financial performance.

The new price target of $67.00 set by Raymond James represents their confidence in Community Bank System's ability to improve earnings and profitability from the current levels, based on the anticipated revenue growth and expansion of the bank's fee-based services.

In other recent news, Community Financial Systems reported steady growth in its third-quarter earnings. The company's pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) rose to $1.29 per share, an 11.2% increase year-over-year, and earnings per share (EPS) slightly increased to $0.83. Despite a modest decrease from the previous quarter, the earnings were influenced by an increased provision for credit losses and a rise in performance-based compensation expenses. With a strong liquidity position of $4.49 billion and total operating revenues of $189.1 million, a 7.8% increase year-over-year, the company continues to pursue growth opportunities strategically.

Community Financial Systems has also reported robust revenue growth in its Benefit Administration business and Insurance Services. The company's net interest income surpassed previous peaks, driven by loan growth and improved interest margins. The company opened its first new branch in Syracuse, with 17 more locations in progress, indicating an active pursuit of expansion.

Despite a rise in nonperforming loans to $62.8 million, the company's asset quality remains strong. Community Financial Systems maintains a positive outlook for the future, with plans for continued organic growth across all business segments and strategic investments to enhance shareholder value. The company's executives project an improvement in net interest income in Q4 and a continued rise into 2025.

InvestingPro Insights

The Raymond James upgrade aligns with several key insights from InvestingPro. Community Bank System (NYSE:CBU) has demonstrated strong financial health and shareholder value, as evidenced by its impressive dividend history. According to InvestingPro Tips, CBU has raised its dividend for 27 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 41 consecutive years, underscoring its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The bank's financial performance has been robust, with InvestingPro data showing a revenue growth of 10.2% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, and an operating income margin of 34.16%. This solid performance supports Raymond James' optimistic outlook on the bank's earnings prospects and potential for NIM expansion.

Moreover, the stock has shown significant momentum, with InvestingPro data indicating a 51.78% price total return over the past year. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip highlighting CBU's high return over the last year and large price uptick over the last six months.

It's worth noting that while CBU trades at a P/E ratio of 18.05, which may seem high relative to near-term earnings growth, the InvestingPro Fair Value suggests there might still be upside potential, with a fair value estimate of $71.7.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips for Community Bank System, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial position and market performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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