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Piper Sandler sees profitability potential driving Chewy stock upgrade

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 23/08/2024, 11:06
CHWY
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On Friday, Chewy Inc . (NYSE:CHWY) stock received an upgrade from Piper Sandler to an Overweight rating, with a new price target set at $35.00. This signaled a positive shift in the firm’s outlook on the online pet retailer.

Piper Sandler highlighted Chewy's potential profitability inflection, driven by gross margin expansion and selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) leverage.

The company's path to profitability is being supported by various factors, including increased revenue from sponsored ads and a shift to higher margin products, alongside well-managed discounting strategies. Additionally, efficiency gains and automation have contributed to SG&A leverage, further bolstering the company's financial standing.

Chewy's stock has faced skepticism due to a sustained period of pressure on net additions, which has been a central argument for bearish investors. However, recent management commentary from June and findings from Piper Sandler's pet survey suggest that pet adoption trends, which have been stagnant since 2021, may be showing signs of improvement.

While it remains too early to confirm a significant stabilization in new pet adoption trends, any indication of positive movement in this area is seen as beneficial for Chewy. As a market leader in the pet category, signs of increased interest in pet adoption could positively impact the company's performance.

Piper Sandler's analysis presents a bull versus bear case range for Chewy's stock, with a high estimate of $40 and a low of $18, reflecting the potential volatility and varying investor sentiments surrounding the company's future.

The upgrade to an Overweight rating from the previous Neutral stance indicates a more optimistic view of Chewy's market position and profitability prospects.

In other recent news, Chewy Inc. has seen significant financial developments. The company's second-quarter revenue is expected to be $2.86 billion, with an EBITDA of $114 million, according to BofA Securities.

Despite a predicted slowdown in year-over-year growth, Chewy's financial resilience and growth prospects have been highlighted by Baird, which recently raised its price target on the company's shares.

Analyst firms have shown varied stances on Chewy's stock. While Baird maintains an Outperform rating, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) has kept its Hold rating, citing limited upside.

Argus has downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold, whereas William Blair has kept an Outperform rating. Wolfe Research initiated coverage with a Peer Perform rating, expressing skepticism about the company's potential to increase revenue amid macroeconomic challenges.

Chewy's corporate governance has also changed, with David Reeder, the current CFO, appointed as the interim Chief Accounting Officer. Additionally, the company has amended its Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation and elected four new Class II directors.

The company's revenue has tripled to $11 billion, and it has agreed to repurchase 17,550,000 shares of its Class A common stock. These are among the recent developments that continue to shape Chewy's trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the upgrade from Piper Sandler, Chewy Inc. (NYSE:CHWY) stands out with some notable financial metrics and market performance. InvestingPro data shows that Chewy holds a market capitalization of approximately $11.48 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the online pet retail space. Despite trading at a high P/E ratio of 135.41, indicating a premium valuation by the market, analysts remain optimistic about the company's potential for net income growth this year. This optimism is supported by a strong return over the last three months, with a price total return of nearly 62%.

InvestingPro Tips point out that Chewy's balance sheet is in a healthy state, holding more cash than debt, which provides financial flexibility and may be a reassuring sign for investors concerned about market volatility. Additionally, the company is expected to be profitable over the next twelve months, a significant milestone that could underpin further stock appreciation. For those considering a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers over 10 additional tips on Chewy, accessible through their platform, providing a comprehensive look at the company's financial health and market potential.

Overall, the data and insights from InvestingPro align with the positive outlook presented by Piper Sandler, suggesting that Chewy's strategic moves towards profitability might be paying off, and that the company could be well-positioned to capitalize on any upticks in pet adoption trends.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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