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Palo Alto Networks shares target raised by Evercore ISI on strong quarter

Published 20/08/2024, 14:48
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On Tuesday, Evercore ISI increased its price target on shares of Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) to $395 from $385, while maintaining an Outperform rating. The firm highlighted Palo Alto Networks' robust quarterly performance and outlook that aligned with market expectations, prompting the revised target.

Palo Alto Networks recently concluded a solid quarter, with management transitioning away from providing a billings guide, instead offering an FY25 target of 12%, which matches expectations. The company will now guide quarterly and annual Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), with projections for F1Q and FY25 RPO at 19.5% at the midpoint.

While details on FY26 targets were limited, the firm noted that the previously forecasted FY26 RPO compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% should now be viewed with caution.

The cybersecurity company reported an FY25 Next-Generation Security (NGS) Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth of 29% at the midpoint and anticipates a Free Cash Flow (FCF) margin of 37.5% for both FY25 and FY26. Revenue guidance for F1Q showed a 12.6% increase, slightly above the street's 12% expectation, and a 13.7% rise for FY25, which is also slightly ahead of the street's 13.4% forecast.

Palo Alto Networks ended FY24 with more than 1,000 platform customers, with any customer having over $1 million ARR in either Secure Access Service Edge (SASE), Cloud Security, or Extended Security Information Management (XSIAM) considered a platform customer.

The FY30 target projects approximately 3,000 platformizations to achieve a $15 billion NGS ARR. Momentum continues for SASE, as the company gained around 300 net new customers through the product, indicating its competitive edge in the market.

Additional growth was seen in Cloud Security, surpassing $700 million in ARR with over 30% year-over-year growth in Average Contract Value (ACV) from new contracts. Cortex, driven by XSIAM, crossed $900 million in ARR, with bookings exceeding $500 million and a customer count that quadrupled in FY24. Management also provided an AI ARR metric surpassing $200 million, primarily from XSIAM contributions.

Following a recent outage at competitor CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD), Palo Alto Networks noted that several customers have explored its Cortex and XSIAM offerings. Management stressed the company's distinctive approach to update deployment as a unique selling point.

In other recent news, Palo Alto Networks has made significant strides in cybersecurity. Citi has maintained its Buy rating on Palo Alto Networks, raising its target to $395 due to the company's impressive growth in Next-Generation Security (NGS) Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which saw a 43% year-over-year increase. In addition, DA Davidson has reaffirmed its confidence in the company, elevating the cybersecurity company's price target to $415.

Palo Alto Networks' fourth-quarter results for fiscal year 2024 revealed a 10.8% year-over-year increase in billings, surpassing both BTIG's and Wall Street's predictions. Its NGS ARR also saw a significant 42.8% year-over-year increase. BTIG has subsequently raised its price target for Palo Alto Networks to $395, maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.

Palo Alto Networks has also projected robust fiscal year 2025 revenue and profit, surpassing Wall Street expectations. The company's fiscal 2025 revenue is expected to reach between $9.10 billion and $9.15 billion. This positive outlook has led to several analysts, including those from Rosenblatt Securities, Baird, Evercore ISI, and Citi, raising their price targets for the company.

In a recent development, Palo Alto Networks expanded its partnership with SLB to enhance cybersecurity measures for the energy sector. This collaboration will leverage SLB's expertise in cloud and edge technologies and Palo Alto Networks' cybersecurity solutions.

The initiative is set to provide SLB with advanced security infrastructure and contribute to the development of new solutions to combat the increasing cyber risks associated with the industry's shift towards digital and AI-driven technologies.

InvestingPro Insights

As Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) continues to demonstrate strong growth and innovation in the cybersecurity sector, insights from InvestingPro suggest further dimensions of the company's financial health and market position. With an impressive market capitalization of $111.18 billion, the company stands as a significant player in the industry. Moreover, Palo Alto Networks' revenue growth for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 was 20.05%, showcasing the company's ability to expand its financial base in a competitive market.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Palo Alto Networks is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 43.94, indicating a premium valuation by the market, likely due to its growth prospects and strong market position. Additionally, the company's gross profit margin stands at a robust 74.43%, reflecting efficient operations and a competitive advantage in its product offerings.

Investors looking for more nuanced analysis will find that InvestingPro offers 15 additional tips, providing a deeper dive into Palo Alto Networks' financial metrics and market performance. For investors considering the company's stock, the InvestingPro Fair Value estimate stands at $296.78, offering a perspective on the stock's potential value compared to the current market price.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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