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nCino shares hold Overweight rating with consistent target from Piper Sandler

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 28/08/2024, 15:22
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Piper Sandler has maintained its Overweight rating on shares of nCino Inc. (NASDAQ: NCNO), with a price target of $38.00. The firm's analysts highlighted nCino's consistent performance in the second quarter, noting the company's success across various products and key geographical markets.

Despite a slowdown in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) growth to 12% year-over-year, compared to 17% in the previous quarter, the analysts expressed confidence in the company's outlook for the calendar year 2026.

The analysts pointed out that nCino has achieved 36% of its target gross bookings for the year to date, which aligns closely with the typical 40% target for the first half of the year. They stressed that nCino's ability to execute on bookings that are more weighted towards the second half of the year, the expansion of its product offerings, an anticipated decrease in churn in the second half, and the potential for rate cuts to boost mortgage activity and revenue, all support a positive outlook for the company.

Piper Sandler emphasized the favorable risk-reward profile for nCino, citing a 5.9 times multiple on the company's estimated enterprise value to sales for the calendar year 2025 (CY25E EV/S).

The valuation is seen as attractive, especially as the banking industry shows signs of increased activity and as investors become more comfortable with the potential margin impacts from acquisitions and the variability in RPO.

In other recent news, nCino, a cloud-based software provider, has reported impressive financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025.

The company's total revenues reached $132.4 million, with subscription revenues of $113.9 million and non-GAAP operating income hitting $19.3 million. The company has maintained its Outperform rating, as confirmed by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, following these earnings results.

nCino's management has increased its operating income and earnings per share (EPS) guidance for the fiscal year 2025, reflecting these positive results. However, revenue forecasts remain unchanged from the first quarter, indicating a cautious outlook for the remaining half of the year. Despite this, nCino remains confident in achieving its 50% net booking growth target by the fiscal year 2025.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods have advised investors to consider any current market dips in nCino's share price as potential investment opportunities, reflecting their ongoing confidence in nCino's financial prospects. In light of the lower-than-expected expenses, the firm has modestly increased its operating income and EPS estimates for nCino.

InvestingPro Insights

As nCino Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) receives an optimistic assessment from Piper Sandler, InvestingPro data and tips offer additional perspectives for investors considering the company's stock. nCino's market capitalization stands at $3.48 billion, and while the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is negative at -134.52, reflecting its current lack of profitability, the company is expected to grow its net income this year. This aligns with Piper Sandler's positive outlook and the anticipated profitability highlighted by analysts. The revenue growth for nCino over the last twelve months has been 14.77%, indicating a steady upward trajectory in sales, which could be a reassuring sign for investors looking for growth prospects.

InvestingPro Tips further reveal that nCino operates with a moderate level of debt and has low price volatility, which may appeal to investors seeking stability. However, the company is trading at high EBITDA and revenue valuation multiples, suggesting that the stock is priced at a premium relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, as well as its sales. This could be a point of consideration for investors comparing nCino's valuation with its peers.

For those interested in a deeper dive, InvestingPro offers additional insights, including that 10 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, which may temper some expectations. It's also noteworthy that nCino does not pay a dividend, which could influence the decision-making of income-focused investors. For a comprehensive analysis, there are further tips available on InvestingPro's platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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