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Morgan Stanley upbeat on IAG stock citing margin improvement prospects

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/07/2024, 10:06
ICAGY
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On Wednesday, International Consolidated Airlines Group (LON:ICAG) SA (IAG:LN) (OTC: ICAGY (OTC:ICAGY)) stock received an upgrade in its rating by a Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analyst from Underweight to Overweight. Accompanying this upgrade was a significant increase in the price target, set now at GBP2.80, raised from the previous GBP2.10.

The upgrade was prompted by a reassessment of the airline group's near-term pricing risks, which are now viewed as less concerning relative to the sector. The analyst cited the tight widebody market as a favorable factor that is expected to support medium-term pricing for the group. This market condition is particularly beneficial for IAG's fleet, which includes aircraft types that are in high demand.

A key component of the analyst's positive outlook is the potential margin improvement at British Airways, one of the main airlines within the IAG group. The turnaround of margins at British Airways is anticipated to contribute significantly to the group's forecasted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) growth.

The analyst also noted the historical financial performance of the group's other airlines, which represent 53% of IAG's EBIT for 2023. The analyst pointed out that these airlines had achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% in their EBIT from 2015 to 2019. This past growth supports the expectation that these airlines will continue to grow and contribute to the group's overall financial performance.

In other recent news, International Airlines Group (IAG) has reported a robust Q1 2024, with a significant 9% increase in revenue to €6.4 billion and a considerable boost in operating profit to €68 million. Despite a slight increase in unit costs due to investment timing, the company anticipates a modest overall cost increase for the full year.

IAG's balance sheet also shows resilience with a notable reduction in net debt and leverage, positioning the company positively for future growth. Strategic initiatives are underway to enhance core businesses and customer offerings. IAG expects a positive travel demand trajectory and plans to increase capacity by 7%. The company is focused on generating significant free cash flow and delivering world-class margins and returns.

Lastly, the company's acquisition of Air Europa is expected to reach a resolution by July, following ongoing discussions with the European Committee. These are some of the recent developments in the company's operations.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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