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Morgan Stanley downgrades Evotec stock amid shift to CRO business fundamentals

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 29/07/2024, 09:34
EVO
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On Monday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) issued a rating change for Evotec AG (EVT:GR) (NASDAQ: EVO), downgrading the stock from Overweight to Equalweight and significantly reducing the price target to €12.00 from the previous €28.00.

The adjustment comes as Evotec's narrative shifts focus from its innovative approach and use of artificial intelligence in R&D to a more fundamental concentration on its Contract Research Organization (CRO) business, aiming for profitable growth.

The analyst from Morgan Stanley highlighted the company's restructuring of reporting lines into two distinct segments: the "Shared R&D" segment, which encompasses the CRO business, including transactional and discovery services, and "Just - Evotec Biologics," which operates as the biologic Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization (CDMO) business. This move is seen as a positive step towards providing clarity for investors regarding the primary factors driving the company's revenue and profitability.

The restructuring comes at a crucial time for Evotec, as the company faces challenges related to growth and margins. The reorganization is intended to simplify the company's structure and make it easier for investors to understand the fundamental aspects of the business. This is particularly important as the company's performance has become more challenging to evaluate.

Morgan Stanley's revised price target reflects a recalibration of expectations for Evotec, taking into account the current pressures on the company's growth and margins. The new target is set with a view on the company's potential to stabilize and grow its core CRO and CDMO operations.

Evotec's stock adjustment by Morgan Stanley serves as an indicator of the company's current strategic position and market expectations. The firm's analysis points towards a need for Evotec to focus on its core competencies in the CRO and CDMO businesses to navigate through a period of increased scrutiny and performance pressures.

In other recent news, Evotec SE reported a mixed performance in their Q1 2024 earnings, with a decrease in revenue to €208.8 million and a significant drop in adjusted EBITDA due to a 23% decline in Shared R&D revenue.

On the other hand, the Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) Sales Book saw a 70% increase and Just Evotec Biologics, a subsidiary of Evotec, experienced nearly 400% revenue growth and achieved EBITDA breakeven.

TD Cowen, a financial firm, maintained its Buy rating on shares of Evotec, following a visit to the company's GMP J.POD facility located in Redmond, WA. This facility is part of Evotec's strategy to streamline the production of biologics.

In the company's strategic shift, Evotec is exiting its Orth gene therapy business to focus on core strengths and anticipates a recovery in the second half of 2024. The company is implementing cost optimization and smart partnering strategies to navigate the current market.

Despite the current challenges, Evotec maintains its guidance for mid-double digit EBITDA growth for 2024 and anticipates the BIO-SECURE Act to have a positive impact in the future. The company's recent developments underscore its commitment to innovation and its potential to positively impact the biologics market.

InvestingPro Insights

As Evotec AG navigates through a period of restructuring and market recalibration, it's essential for investors to consider key financial metrics and analyst insights. According to InvestingPro data, Evotec currently holds a market capitalization of $1.67 billion, with a negative P/E ratio of -16.58, reflecting the challenges the company faces in achieving profitability. The company's revenue over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 was $838.02 million, a slight decrease of 2.97% year-over-year, indicating some pressure on growth. Despite this, Evotec maintains a gross profit margin of 20.16%, showing its ability to retain a portion of sales as gross profit.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that analysts do not expect Evotec to be profitable this year, which aligns with the company's current negative P/E ratio. The company is also noted to operate with a moderate level of debt and is trading at a high EBITDA valuation multiple. These insights may be particularly relevant for investors considering Morgan Stanley's recent downgrade and the company's focus on its CRO and CDMO segments. For those looking to delve deeper into Evotec's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips on https://www.investing.com/pro/EVO. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, and find out more about the 4 additional InvestingPro Tips available for Evotec.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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