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Lake Street raises Mama's Creations shares target citing growth outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/06/2024, 14:12
MAMA
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On Wednesday, Lake Street Capital Markets updated its outlook on Mama’s Creations (NASDAQ:MAMA) shares, increasing the price target to $10.00 from the previous $7.00 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.

The firm highlighted the company's first-quarter performance as a solid start to the fiscal year 2025, emphasizing a 29% revenue growth which indicates significant progress.

The revenue increase was attributed to multiple factors, including enhanced performance in the club channel, an uptick in volume due to trade promotions, and the introduction of new products to existing customers.

Lake Street Capital Markets anticipates that Mama’s Creations will continue to see revenue growth throughout the year, driven by volume gains and the addition of higher items carried at existing customers, as well as the onboarding of new customers.

The analyst noted that current estimates do not account for the potential addition of major customers such as Walmart (NYSE:WMT) or Target (NYSE:TGT), nor do they consider the impact of a possible acquisition. These factors represent opportunities for upward revisions to estimates and could serve as positive catalysts for the company.

In fiscal year 2024, Mama’s Creations focused on margin improvement, and now the strategy has shifted towards driving growth. The analyst believes that as the company continues to demonstrate growth, there is potential for further expansion of its valuation multiples.

Lake Street Capital Markets also pointed out that Mama’s Creations is capturing a disproportionate share of the market within a large industry that benefits from supporting tailwinds.

With the stock trading at approximately 2x revenue, the firm suggests that investors are prepared to pay a premium for the company’s consistent performance and confidence in its roadmap to becoming a $1 billion business. The reiteration of the Buy rating and the increased price target reflect this optimism.

In other recent news, Mama's Creations reported strong first-quarter results, outperforming Roth/MKM's projections. The company's revenue and adjusted EBITDA figures were at $29.8 million and $2.5 million, respectively, surpassing the firm's estimates of $26.1 million in revenue and $2.2 million in EBITDA. Furthermore, Roth/MKM has raised their price target for Mama's Creations shares to $8.50 from the previous $6.50, maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.

The company's solid performance is attributed to strategic initiatives such as operational improvements and market expansion, which have contributed to increased operational efficiency and gross margins.

In light of these developments, Roth/MKM made slight revisions to their full-year forecasts for 2025 and 2026, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's financial trajectory.

Mama's Creations is also broadening its product offerings and distribution channels, with ongoing discussions with major retailers like Walmart and Target. The company's CEO, Adam L. Michaels, anticipates gross margin improvements in the latter half of the year, driven by pricing and the completion of capital expenditure projects. These recent developments underscore Mama's Creations' commitment to operational excellence and its proactive approach to managing market challenges.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the positive outlook from Lake Street Capital Markets, a deeper dive into Mama's Creations' financials through InvestingPro reveals a mixed bag of metrics. The company's market capitalization stands at a modest $268 million, and it's trading at a high P/E ratio of 40.17, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its earnings. Notably, the company has experienced significant revenue growth in the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, with an increase of 10.83%, and an even more impressive quarterly revenue growth of 17.13% in Q4 2024.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Mama's Creations is trading at a high earnings multiple and a high Price / Book multiple of 13.69. However, the company's strong past performance is reflected in its 1-year price total return of 166.42%. Additionally, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, the financial health of Mama's Creations appears stable, allowing for strategic moves such as the introduction of new products and potential major customer acquisitions highlighted by the analyst.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Mama's Creations, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/MAMA. By using the promo code PRONEWS24, readers can receive an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, gaining access to a wealth of insights that could inform investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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