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JPMorgan sees challenges ahead for Cementos Pacasmayo stock

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 21/08/2024, 09:34
CPAC
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On Wednesday, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (NYSE:CPAC) stock, a prominent cement company, was downgraded by JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) from Neutral to Underweight, with a price target set at $6.00.

The firm noted that despite the stock's year-to-date performance, which showed a 9% increase, it was trading at a slight premium compared to its peers, with a 5.7x multiple on its expected 2025 enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA).

The company's ability to further improve EBITDA margins seems limited after an anticipated impressive gain to 28% for the current year compared to the previous year.

With relatively weak volume sales, the potential for significant EBITDA growth is expected to be constrained, with projections of 8% and 3% for 2024 and 2025, respectively.

Despite the downgrade, it was acknowledged that Cementos Pacasmayo stands out from its peers with a substantial dividend payout, offering an attractive 10.9% yield for the current year.

The company's financial estimates remain unchanged following their second-quarter performance, which suggests that the second half of the year could mirror the approximate 1 percentage point year-over-year margin expansion observed in the second quarter.

Cement volumes were notably weak in the first half of the year, with sales declining by 4% due to a contraction in self-construction, which accounts for 70% of the company's sales.

Although a recovery in the second half of the year is anticipated, there is concern that this may not materialize, potentially leading to lowered expectations.

Looking ahead to 2025, JPMorgan sees limited opportunities for Cementos Pacasmayo to increase margins, as the benefits from lower energy costs are expected to wane, and there is little room to raise prices.

In other recent news, JPMorgan has upgraded UCB SA's stock from Neutral to Overweight and increased the company's price target to €200.00, up from €150.00.

This comes after an analyst from the firm highlighted UCB's growth potential, with an expected compound annual growth rate in earnings per share of 31% from 2024 to 2027. The analyst also noted the potential for growth from further development of Atopic Dermatitis treatments UCB9741 and UCB1381.

In other developments, Cementos Pacasmayo, a major Peruvian cement producer, has announced its consolidated financial results for the second quarter of 2024.

The details were outlined in a Form 6-K filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, reflecting the company's financial position and operations for the period ending on July 22, 2024.

Carlos Jose Molinelli Mateo, the Stock Market Representative for Cementos Pacasmayo, ensured the report's compliance with the SEC's regulatory requirements for foreign private issuers.

These are recent developments that provide insight into the companies' performances and future prospects, according to analyst projections. It's important to note that these updates are based on the companies' official statements and analysts' evaluations, not personal opinions or speculation.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the recent downgrade by JPMorgan, investors may find additional context through InvestingPro insights. Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (NYSE:CPAC) is currently trading at a low earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 10.69, which is adjusted to 9.3 when considering the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This could indicate that the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings, providing a potentially attractive entry point for value investors. Moreover, the company boasts a high shareholder yield, with a notable dividend yield of 8.83% as of recent data, which is a testament to its commitment to returning value to shareholders, having maintained dividend payments for 18 consecutive years.

InvestingPro data also reveals that the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, which may provide some financial stability in uncertain market conditions. While revenue growth has shown a slight decline of 2.38% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the company has been able to maintain a healthy gross profit margin of 36.28% in the same period. These metrics, coupled with the analysts' prediction of profitability for the year, could be of interest to those looking for companies with solid fundamentals.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, there are an additional 5 InvestingPro Tips available, offering more nuanced insights into Cementos Pacasmayo's financial health and market potential. These tips can be accessed through the InvestingPro platform, where users can find a comprehensive suite of tools to support their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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