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JPMorgan downgrades Huayu Automotive stock, expects tariffs to rise if Trump wins

Published 30/10/2024, 11:20
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On Wednesday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) issued a downgrade for Huayu Automotive Systems (600741:CH), shifting its rating from Overweight to Neutral. The firm also reduced the price target for Huayu Automotive to RMB15.00 from the previous RMB22.00. The adjustment comes as the company's stock lags behind the market this year, with a year-to-date performance of negative 2% compared to the CSI 300's positive 14%.

The analyst from JPMorgan pointed out that Huayu Automotive's underperformance is due to an earnings miss attributed to slow revenue growth. This slowdown is linked to weaker sales from the China auto sector and its main customer, SAIC Group. Additionally, the company has faced margin contraction, exacerbated by pricing cuts in the face of intensifying competition.

Huayu Automotive's third quarter of 2024 was marked by a missed earnings estimate, prompting JPMorgan to revise its earnings estimates downward by approximately 10%. The firm's projections for 2024-25E now stand around 5% below the consensus.

The downgrade to Neutral reflects JPMorgan's outlook that the China auto parts sector may experience performance pressures soon. The firm also mentions the potential risk of tariff hikes if Trump is elected, as detailed in their report "Trump 2.0 Tariff Hike" published on October 22.

For investors looking to sidestep the impact of potential tariff increases, JPMorgan suggests considering Fuyao Glass as a top pick within the auto parts sector.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to JPMorgan's analysis, recent data from InvestingPro sheds further light on Huayu Automotive Systems' financial position. The company's P/E Ratio (Adjusted) for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 stands at 7.65, indicating that it's trading at a relatively low earnings multiple. This aligns with one of the InvestingPro Tips, which notes that the company is "Trading at a low earnings multiple."

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip highlights that Huayu Automotive "Suffers from weak gross profit margins." This is corroborated by the InvestingPro Data, which shows a Gross Profit Margin of 12.65% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This low margin could be contributing to the company's underperformance and the earnings miss mentioned in JPMorgan's report.

Despite these challenges, it's worth noting that Huayu Automotive has maintained dividend payments for 15 consecutive years, according to another InvestingPro Tip. The current Dividend Yield is 4.72%, which may be attractive to income-focused investors.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 6 additional tips for Huayu Automotive Systems, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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