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JPMorgan deems Fisher & Paykel's FY25 guide 'conservative', upgrades shares rating

Published 26/08/2024, 12:28
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On Monday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) shifted its stance on Fisher & Paykel Healthcare (FPH:NZ) (OTC: FSPKF), upgrading the stock from Underweight to Neutral. The new price target set by the firm is NZD32.00, a notable increase from the previous target of NZD23.00. This revision comes after Fisher & Paykel presented a solid start to FY25, leading to a conservative 3% increase in its full-year guidance.

The company's cautious outlook is ahead of the anticipated Northern Hemisphere winter, which includes the flu and COVID-19 seasons. Despite this, JPMorgan anticipates a potential rise in earnings guidance later in the year. The firm's revised price target is based on updated forecasts that exceed the top end of Fisher & Paykel's revised guidance range of $320-370 million in net profit after tax (NPAT).

JPMorgan's new NPAT forecast stands at $374 million, reflecting a more optimistic view on the company's sales growth and margins over the medium term. The analyst believes that the conservative guidance from Fisher & Paykel does not fully account for the high flu case numbers already seen in Australia.

The upgrade to a Neutral rating by JPMorgan is underpinned by the belief that there is a strong likelihood of another upward revision in earnings guidance by Fisher & Paykel later in the year. With the revised price target of NZD32.00, JPMorgan sees limited downside to the stock, prompting the change in rating.

InvestingPro Insights

Following JPMorgan's upgrade of Fisher & Paykel Healthcare, key metrics from InvestingPro provide a deeper financial perspective on the company's performance. With a Market Cap of 219.25 million USD and an attractive P/E Ratio standing at 4.09, Fisher & Paykel showcases a compelling valuation in the market. Additionally, the company's P/E Ratio has remained stable over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, slightly adjusting to 4.12, suggesting consistency in earnings relative to its share price.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Fisher & Paykel has been a reliable dividend payer, having maintained its dividend payments for an impressive 33 consecutive years. This long-term commitment to shareholder returns underscores the company's financial stability and disciplined capital management. Furthermore, analysts predict that the company will be profitable this year, which aligns with JPMorgan's optimistic view on the company's sales growth and margin prospects. Fisher & Paykel's profitability is also reflected in the substantial revenue growth of 313.37% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, indicating strong business performance.

For investors seeking additional insights, there are over 17 InvestingPro Tips available, providing a more comprehensive analysis of Fisher & Paykel's financial health and market position. These tips can be explored further by visiting InvestingPro's dedicated page for Fisher & Paykel at https://www.investing.com/pro/FPH.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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