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Joby Aviation target cut to $9.75 but retains Buy rating

Published 28/10/2024, 21:40
JOBY
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On Monday, Canaccord Genuity revised its price target for Joby Aviation Inc (NYSE:JOBY), a company specializing in electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The new price target has been set at $9.75, a decrease from the previous $10.50. Despite the reduction, the firm maintains a Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustment in the price target reflects a recent stock offering by Joby Aviation, which has led to an increased share count and subsequent dilution impact. Canaccord Genuity has updated its financial model to account for these changes, applying an 8.72% discount rate to its discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis.

The analyst from Canaccord Genuity expressed continued confidence in Joby Aviation's potential, citing the company's positioning to become the first major eVTOL aircraft certified by a significant aviation regulator for urban air mobility (UAM) applications. The market for UAM is projected to reach a total addressable market (TAM) of $58 billion by 2033.

Recently, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued a Special Federal Aviation Regulation (SFAR) on Advanced Air Mobility, which is set to remain effective for the next decade, regardless of presidential election outcomes. This regulatory development allows Joby to proceed with its pilot simulator training and manned test flight activities. The company is working towards a type certification (TC) for its battery-electric aircraft, which is anticipated to occur in 2025 or early 2026.

In other recent news, Joby Aviation has initiated a public offering of common stock valued at up to $200 million, managed by Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Allen & Company LLC. This move is intended to advance certification and manufacturing processes and prepare for commercial operations. Additionally, the company has received a significant $500 million investment from Toyota Motor (NYSE:TM) Corporation, aimed at advancing the certification and commercial production of Joby's electric air taxi.

Analysts have presented mixed views on Joby Aviation's prospects, with H.C. Wainwright reaffirming a Buy rating and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) maintaining a Sell rating. Despite reporting a net loss of $123 million in Q2 2024, Joby Aviation maintains a robust financial position with $825 million in cash and short-term investments.

InvestingPro Insights

Joby Aviation's financial metrics and market position offer additional context to the Canaccord Genuity analysis. According to InvestingPro data, Joby's market capitalization stands at $3.91 billion, reflecting investor interest in its eVTOL technology despite the company not yet being profitable. The stock's price-to-book ratio of 4.46 suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for Joby's future potential in the urban air mobility market.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Joby holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is crucial for a pre-revenue company investing heavily in research and development. This strong liquidity position is further supported by the fact that Joby's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing financial flexibility as it works towards certification and commercialization.

However, investors should note that Joby's stock price movements are quite volatile, with a 18.1% decline over the past three months. This volatility aligns with the company's developmental stage and the broader market's perception of the eVTOL industry's risks and potential.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for Joby Aviation, providing a more comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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