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Jefferies sees strong underwriting performance boosting Admiral Group stock

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 22/08/2024, 08:10
AMIGY
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On Thursday, Admiral Group Plc (LON:ADML) (ADM:LN) (OTC: AMIGY) stock received an upgrade in its rating from 'Underperform' to 'Hold' by a Jefferies analyst. Accompanying this upgrade, the price target for the shares was also raised to GBP30.25, ascending from the former GBP23.00.

The adjustment in the stock's outlook was attributed to the company's performance in the first half of 2024, where it surpassed expectations in terms of growth and margin. This prompted the analyst to increase the earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for the years 2024 and 2025 by 20% and 28%, respectively.

Despite the ongoing influence of prior underwriting years on earnings, the firm's current year underwriting performance was highlighted as particularly strong. This display of strength led to the belief in Admiral's resilient business model, warranting the raised price target to 3,025 pence.

The analyst's commentary noted the reasons for the upgrade, citing Admiral's ability to outperform amidst challenges. However, the uncertainty in the motor insurance market has been a factor in preventing a more bullish stance on the stock.

The new price target of GBP30.25 reflects a more optimistic view of the company's value, while the upgrade to 'Hold' suggests a neutral position, indicating that the stock is neither a strong buy nor a sell at its current price level.

In other recent news, Admiral Group, a prominent player in the UK motor insurance sector, has been the focus of positive financial developments. RBC Capital Markets has raised its price target for Admiral Group shares to GBP35.50, up from GBP34.00, due to a strong earnings trajectory. The firm highlights the company's ongoing market consolidation and an anticipated 19% compound annual growth rate in earnings from 2024 to 2026.

Additionally, Admiral Group reported robust financial results for the first half of 2024, with a 43% increase in turnover and a 32% rise in pretax profit.

The company added over half a million motor policies, primarily in the UK, which significantly contributed to this growth. Furthermore, the company's US operations reported a profit, and strategic options are being explored for its Elephant business.

These recent developments reflect the company's potential for growth and margin sustainability, according to RBC Capital Markets. The firm's revised earnings estimates and the new price target underscore their confidence in Admiral Group's earnings momentum and strategic positioning within the industry.

Despite uncertainties in pricing and international markets, the company continues to diversify its portfolio and enhance its technical capabilities with data and AI advancements.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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