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Jefferies cuts Recursion Pharma stock target, maintains Hold rating

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 03/09/2024, 17:38
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Jefferies has adjusted its outlook on Recursion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: RXRX), reducing the price target to $6.00 from the previous $8.00 while keeping a Hold rating on the stock.

The decision follows a review of new Phase II data related to Cerebral Cavernous Malformations (CCM), a condition characterized by abnormal blood vessels in the brain.

The recent data indicates a positive trend observed in MRI results at the higher 400mg dose compared to the placebo, with improvements seeming to increase over time.

Despite these promising MRI findings, the study did not demonstrate enhancements in patient or physician-reported outcomes after 12 months. The lack of improvement in reported outcomes was not unexpected due to the diverse symptoms associated with CCM.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals has been conducting what is described as a signal-seeking and exploratory study. The company plans to engage with the FDA to discuss future directions and potential paths forward for their CCM treatment based on the current findings.

The reduction in the price target reflects the mixed results from the recent trial, balancing the encouraging MRI trends against the static patient-reported outcomes.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is expected to continue its dialogue with regulatory authorities to ascertain the implications of the study's results for its drug development process.

In other recent news, Recursion reported positive results from the Phase 2 SYCAMORE trial of REC-994, a drug candidate for cerebral cavernous malformation (CCM). The trial met its primary safety endpoint and showed promising trends in MRI-based efficacy measures.

Additionally, Recursion has secured a commitment from Evotec SE, a significant shareholder of Exscientia plc, to support its proposed acquisition of the UK-based company, bringing total shareholder support for the transaction to approximately 53%.

The company also disclosed a $30 million deal with Genentech, reflecting the progress of Recursion's collaborative efforts in neuroscience.

Furthermore, Jefferies initiated coverage on Recursion Pharmaceuticals, issuing a Hold rating due to the company's current valuation, while KeyBanc reiterated its Overweight rating.

Recursion also announced plans for a public offering of $200 million worth of Class A common stock, led by Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) & Co. LLC and J.P. Morgan.

The company has seen significant changes in leadership, with Dr. Robert Hershberg being appointed as the new Chair of the Board, and Dr. Najat Khan joining the company as its new Chief R&D Officer and Chief Commercial Officer.

InvestingPro Insights

As Recursion Pharmaceuticals navigates the aftermath of its Phase II trial results, investors are closely monitoring the company's financial health and market position. According to InvestingPro data, Recursion has a market capitalization of $1.71 billion and is trading at a high revenue valuation multiple, with a price-to-book ratio of 3.5. Despite a quarterly revenue growth of 30.86%, the company's gross profit margin stands at a concerning -548.94%, reflecting significant costs relative to its revenue.

InvestingPro Tips suggest a mixed financial outlook for Recursion. On the positive side, analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, and the company holds more cash than debt, providing some financial stability. However, the company is not expected to be profitable this year and is quickly burning through cash. These factors, combined with weak gross profit margins, could impact the company's ability to sustain long-term growth without strategic adjustments.

For investors seeking a more detailed analysis, InvestingPro offers additional insights, with more tips available for those interested in a deeper dive into Recursion Pharmaceuticals' financials and future prospects. As of the latest update, there are 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which could provide valuable guidance in assessing the company's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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