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Improved credit trends offset loan weakness in First Interstate stock, says Barclays

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 28/10/2024, 10:02
FIBK
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On Monday, Barclays (LON:BARC) maintained its Equalweight rating on First Interstate BancSystems (NASDAQ:FIBK) stock, with a steady price target of $32.00. The firm's analysis followed the company's recent earnings report, which revealed an operating earnings per share (EPS) of $0.55.

This figure fell short of the consensus estimate by $0.03 and was $0.02 below Barclays' own forecast. The shortfall was attributed to a higher provision that overshadowed better-than-expected revenue trends and expenses that were in line with predictions.

According to management commentary, the credit trends at First Interstate BancSystems are more favorable than initially anticipated. Losses were primarily driven by two larger loans related to metro-area office commercial real estate (CRE) and one commercial and industrial (C&I) loan. Furthermore, the bank's exposure to other potentially at-risk areas is believed to be minimal.

The report also highlighted that the bank is experiencing subdued balance sheet activity, with negative loan growth and flat deposit levels. The company's guidance suggests that these trends are likely to persist into the fourth quarter of the year.

Reflecting on the recent earnings and company guidance, Barclays has adjusted its EPS estimates for First Interstate BancSystems to $2.27, $2.57, and $3.15 for the fiscal years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively.

These revised figures are a slight decrease from the previous estimates of $2.29, $2.58, and $3.45 for the corresponding years. Despite these adjustments, Barclays has chosen not to alter its price target for the bank's stock, leaving it at $32.00.

In other recent news, First Interstate BancSystem reported stable Q3 earnings with a net income of $55.5 million, or $0.54 per share. This comes along with an improvement in net interest margin, which is expected to exceed 3% in the upcoming quarter.

Despite credit losses in the metro-office portfolio, the company's overall credit quality saw an improvement. On the leadership front, the outgoing CEO, Kevin Riley, introduced Jim Reuter as the incoming CEO.

The company declared a dividend of $0.47 per share and anticipates continued margin expansion into 2025. There were also notable increases in noninterest income, which rose to $46.4 million, marking a 3% uptick excluding a branch sale gain. On the downside, the company incurred $27.4 million in charge-offs, primarily from the metro-office portfolio.

These recent developments indicate a company navigating transitional periods and market uncertainties, with a focus on continued growth. As First Interstate BancSystem prepares for a leadership change, the financial sector will be keenly observing the company's adaptation to these evolving circumstances.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Barclays' analysis, recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context on First Interstate BancSystems' (NASDAQ:FIBK) financial position. The company's P/E ratio stands at 13.57, indicating that the stock is trading at a relatively modest valuation compared to its earnings. This aligns with the bank's current market challenges, including the subdued balance sheet activity noted in the earnings report.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that FIBK has maintained dividend payments for 15 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors, especially given its current dividend yield of 6.07%. This consistent dividend history suggests financial stability, even in the face of the recent earnings miss and lowered EPS estimates.

However, it's worth noting that InvestingPro Tips also indicate that FIBK suffers from weak gross profit margins, which could be a concern given the challenging operating environment described in the article. For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 5 additional tips that could provide further insights into FIBK's financial health and prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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