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HubSpot stock gets an upgrade from KeyBanc as execution risks decrease

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/08/2024, 08:18
HUBS
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On Thursday, KeyBanc revised its stance on HubSpot Inc (NYSE:HUBS) stock, raising its rating from Underweight to Sector Weight. The adjustment follows a period of observation of the company's new pricing and packaging strategies, which have been in effect for several months, in addition to over a year since the initial pilot program launch.

The financial institution observed that the risks associated with the execution of HubSpot's strategies have diminished. This observation is coupled with the fact that the company's stock has experienced significant multiple compression.

Furthermore, KeyBanc notes a downward revision in the growth rate expectations for the second half of the year, now anticipated to be in the mid-teens.

The analyst from KeyBanc justified the upgrade by highlighting the decreased execution risks and the adjustment of growth expectations.

"With now a number of months of the new pricing and packaging under the Company's belt and over a year since the pilot program was first launched, we believe the execution risks have come down," the analyst stated.

The statement further elaborated on the rationale behind the timing of the upgrade, "Match this up with significant multiple compression and a (now lowered) second half growth rate in the mid-teens, and we think this is the right time to upgrade shares to Sector Weight, from Underweight."

The upgraded rating to Sector Weight implies that KeyBanc now views HubSpot's stock as performing in line with the expectations for the sector. This marks a shift from the previous Underweight rating, which suggested the stock might underperform relative to the market sector.

HubSpot Inc, a company that provides a cloud-based marketing, sales, and customer service platform, has been under scrutiny by investors and analysts alike as it navigates through pricing and market changes. The company's recent developments and revised growth expectations have become a focal point for its stock valuation.

In other recent news, HubSpot Inc. has seen several significant developments. The company reported a 23% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2024, driven by solid subscription growth and the addition of over 11,700 new customers. Despite this growth, HubSpot noted a cautious buying environment and a slowdown in deal progression.

Analysts from firms such as Scotiabank, Citi, and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) have recently adjusted their outlooks on HubSpot. Scotiabank reduced its price target for HubSpot shares to $650 from $700, maintaining a Sector Outperform rating.

Citi reaffirmed a Buy rating and $767.00 price target, while Wells Fargo maintained an Overweight rating and raised its shares target to $750, citing significant upsell opportunities due to recent pricing changes.

In terms of company news, HubSpot's potential acquisition by Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) was halted, leading to a significant decline in the company's share price. Despite this, analysts believe the decrease in share value presents a buying opportunity. Furthermore, market checks indicate that the demand for HubSpot's offerings remained stable in the second quarter compared to the first quarter.

These recent developments highlight the dynamic nature of HubSpot's trajectory in the SaaS industry. As these are recent developments, investors are advised to keep a close eye on further updates from the company and market analysts.

InvestingPro Insights

Following KeyBanc's revised rating on HubSpot Inc (NYSE:HUBS), a glance at real-time data from InvestingPro provides a broader financial context. HubSpot's impressive gross profit margins stand at 84.24% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, highlighting the company's ability to maintain profitability in its core operations. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, analysts predict the company will turn a profit this year, which could be a driving factor behind the stock's recent upgrade.

With a market capitalization of $23.48 billion and a high Price / Book ratio of 16.2, HubSpot is trading at a premium, reflecting the market's optimism about its future growth prospects. However, the stock price has been quite volatile, as evidenced by a 21.4% drop over the last month and a 26.71% decline over the last six months. This volatility and recent price movements may have influenced KeyBanc's decision to adjust their expectations for the stock.

For investors considering HubSpot's stock, these metrics and the additional 13 InvestingPro Tips available on the platform (https://www.investing.com/pro/HUBS) provide valuable insights into the company's financial health and market position. The tips range from the company's debt levels to its expected net income growth, offering a comprehensive view for strategic investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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