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Evercore ISI sees upside in H2 PC market, eyes CY25 upcycle

Published 22/08/2024, 21:08
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On Thursday, Evercore ISI provided insights into the PC market, projecting a stronger demand in the second half of 2024. The firm anticipates a 10% increase in unit shipments in the latter half of the year compared to the first half.

Looking further ahead, analysts at Evercore ISI expect the main cycle of growth in the PC market to occur in the calendar year 2025, with a particular emphasis on the commercial sector over the consumer segment.

The potential for artificial intelligence (AI) PCs to contribute to market growth was acknowledged, although Evercore ISI's current models only account for modest contributions from this segment in 2025. The firm suggested that new product launches by Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) expected in the second half of 2024 might drive further adoption and provide additional market opportunities.

Evercore ISI's outlook is based on the assumption that the adoption of AI capabilities in PCs will serve as a tailwind for the industry. However, the firm's projections remain conservative, with only a slight increase factored into their forecasts for the calendar year 2025.

The analysts' forecast indicates a belief in the ongoing relevance and evolution of the PC market, despite the modest contribution from AI PCs in their current projections. They suggest that if the new products from Intel and AMD are well-received, there could be potential for an even more robust market performance than currently anticipated.

Evercore ISI's commentary on the PC market is a forward-looking statement based on current market trends and expected product launches. The firm's forecast provides a snapshot of the anticipated market dynamics over the next couple of years, with a special focus on the latter half of 2024 and the following year.

In other recent news, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has completed its acquisition of ZT Systems for $4.9 billion and Silo AI for approximately $665 million, marking significant strides in strengthening its position in the artificial intelligence (AI) market.

The ZT Systems acquisition is expected to enhance AMD's server and AI data center capabilities, with the company planning to divest ZT Systems' manufacturing operations while retaining 1,000 engineers. This move is projected to add around $150 million in operational expenses, resulting in a roughly 1.5% dilution in earnings per share.

Analysts from firms such as Citi, Northland, and Piper Sandler have maintained their positive outlook on AMD's stock, reflecting confidence in the company's strategic direction and potential for growth. On the financial front, AMD reported robust Q2 results, with revenues of $5.835 billion surpassing Street consensus by $110 million, and the company's data center segment saw record revenue growth of 115% to $2.8 billion.

InvestingPro Insights

As Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) gears up for new product launches in the latter half of 2024, the company's financial health and market performance become pivotal in understanding its potential impact on the PC market. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, AMD boasts a substantial market capitalization of $245.17 billion, reflecting investor confidence and the company's significant presence in the industry. With a revenue growth of 6.4% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, AMD demonstrates its ability to expand amidst competitive pressures.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that AMD is expected to see net income growth this year, which could be a critical factor in sustaining research and development for innovative AI PC capabilities. Additionally, analysts have noted AMD's prominence in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry, which could be a harbinger of the company's ability to capitalize on the anticipated rise in PC demand. However, it's worth noting that 25 analysts have revised their earnings estimates downwards for the upcoming period, which may indicate market uncertainties or challenges ahead.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into AMD's financials and market prospects, InvestingPro offers more than 10 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's performance and future outlook. As Evercore ISI projects a stronger PC market demand, keeping an eye on AMD's financial metrics and analyst insights could offer valuable perspectives on the potential market shifts.

For more detailed analysis and further InvestingPro Tips on AMD, interested readers can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/AMD.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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