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Evercore ISI boosts Ovintiv stock rating, diversified asset base strengthens position

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 14/06/2024, 11:52
OVV
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On Friday, Evercore ISI upgraded Ovintiv Inc. (NYSE:OVV) stock, moving its rating from In Line to Outperform and maintaining a price target of $60.00. The firm highlighted Ovintiv's relative performance compared to the sector over the past six months, suggesting the company is well positioned among its small to mid-cap (SMID-cap) peers.

Following Ovintiv's Permian acquisitions in 2023, the company has successfully integrated assets and managed the decline curve of its wells. The initial wells drilled and completed by Ovintiv have exceeded expectations, a fact that is recognized by the market. Evercore ISI anticipates that Ovintiv will continue to outperform its peers.

The analyst noted that Ovintiv, known for its engineering capabilities, has aligned management expectations with achievable goals, creating opportunities for further improvements in well performance and efficiencies.

These improvements are expected to support free cash flow (FCF) and shareholder returns. Additionally, the reduction of legacy costs is anticipated to enhance unit operating margins over time.

Ovintiv's capital return framework, which distributes 50% of post-dividend free cash flow, is now better understood and appreciated by investors, according to Evercore ISI. The analyst expects the company to benefit from increased market sponsorship and index weights as the number of investable names in the SMID-cap sector decreases.

The firm concluded that Ovintiv's diversified asset base, stabilized portfolio, and emerging track record of execution position it as a viable entity in the exploration and production (E&P) sector. The price target of $60 reflects Evercore ISI's valuation of Ovintiv at 1x net asset value (NAV) using the firm's price deck.

In other recent news, Overland Advantage has amended its Revolving Credit Facility agreement with Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Senior Funding, introducing a new interest margin for a specified period.

The credit facility now includes an incremental applicable margin of 2.10% per annum, which will apply from the six-month anniversary of the closing date up to the nine-month mark. The amendment is an integral part of the Revolving Credit Facility, which remains otherwise unchanged and in full effect.

In other developments, Ovintiv Inc. has been gaining confidence from analysts. TD Cowen has increased its price target for Ovintiv shares to $66 from the previous $64, maintaining a Buy rating.

This endorsement comes due to Ovintiv's strategy, which is expected to yield consistent returns. Likewise, Citi has maintained its Buy rating on Ovintiv shares, emphasizing the company's robust portfolio and strategic initiatives focusing on capital efficiency.

Additionally, Ovintiv Inc. has reported a strong start to 2024, surpassing first-quarter earnings estimates with net earnings of $338 million and free cash flow of $444 million.

The company has also raised its full-year production guidance to 206,000 barrels per day of oil and condensate, while holding its capital guidance steady at $2.3 billion. Furthermore, the company returned $328 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends and aims to reduce its debt to $4 billion by 2025.

InvestingPro Insights

As Ovintiv Inc. (NYSE:OVV) garners a favorable upgrade from Evercore ISI, investors may find additional insights from InvestingPro data and tips particularly valuable. With a robust market capitalization of $12.5 billion and a compelling P/E ratio of 6.44, which adjusts slightly to 6.25 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, Ovintiv displays a strong financial footing. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is evident through its impressive dividend growth of 20.0% in the same period, and a noteworthy dividend yield of 2.58% as of mid-June 2024.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Ovintiv has both maintained dividend payments for an impressive 52 consecutive years and raised its dividend for 5 consecutive years, signaling a reliable return to shareholders. Additionally, the company has been profitable over the last twelve months, with analysts predicting profitability to continue this year. This aligns with Evercore ISI's positive outlook on the company's ability to generate free cash flow and provide shareholder returns.

For those seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers a wealth of additional tips for Ovintiv. By using the coupon code PRONEWS24, investors can access these insights with an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With the next earnings date slated for July 24, 2024, and an analyst fair value target of $63, compared to InvestingPro's fair value estimate of $55.8, the platform provides a comprehensive toolkit for investors to evaluate Ovintiv's potential in the E&P sector.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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