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Deutsche Bank raises FactSet stock target, retains Hold rating

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 24/06/2024, 10:58
FDS
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On Monday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) maintained a Hold rating on FactSet Research Systems (NYSE:FDS), while slightly raising the price target to $461 from $457. The adjustment follows FactSet's stock performance, which saw a nearly 4% rise on Friday. This increase came amidst low expectations, a revenue outcome that met forecasts, and a beat on margin and earnings per share (EPS), even as the company lowered its fiscal year 2024 Annual Subscription Value (ASV) and revenue guidance.

FactSet's recent quarter was notably affected by the consolidation activities within Swiss banks. Despite this, the analyst pointed out that the lower end of the ASV guidance for the fourth quarter appears to be conservative. There are several large deals in the pipeline, although their closing times are uncertain. Gross new sales have remained consistent with the previous year, but there has been an uptick in cancellations and erosion due to the current challenging market conditions, with companies keeping a tight rein on budgets.

From the expense side, FactSet has seen some benefits. In the recent quarter, non-recurring offsets contributed to a 140 basis points improvement, and the company also saved on lower bonus accruals, which is expected to continue into the fourth quarter. The company has planned for a 25% increase in technology costs, including the capitalization of such expenses. However, there is some leeway in these costs based on usage, which could potentially lead to margin improvements in the coming quarter.

The analyst's commentary reflects a nuanced view of FactSet's performance and outlook. While recognizing the headwinds from consolidation in the banking sector and elevated cancellation rates, the company's stable gross new sales and cost management measures are seen as positive indicators. The raised price target suggests a cautious optimism, acknowledging the potential for margin upside while remaining aware of the broader challenging economic environment.

In other recent news, FactSet has revealed its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings, demonstrating a robust performance despite market adversities. The company's organic Annual Subscription Value (ASV) and professional services experienced a 5% growth, with adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) escalating to $4.37. FactSet managed to achieve an adjusted operating margin of 39.4% and introduced new products to fuel future growth. The company continues to effectively control its costs while investing in strategic initiatives such as expanding market data and leveraging generative AI.

Further developments include FactSet's client base expansion to 8,029, with nine new logos added. The company anticipates annual organic ASV plus professional services growth between 4% and 5.5%. FactSet also repaid $62.5 million of its term loan, reducing gross leverage to 1.7 times, and paid a quarterly dividend of $1.04 per share, marking a 6% increase.

FactSet's future outlook includes revenue projections between $2.18 billion and $2.19 billion, and an adjusted EPS expected to range from $16 to $16.40. Despite facing challenges such as clients' budget constraints and prolonged sales cycles, the company remains focused on innovation and strategic investments in areas like generative AI and data platforms.

InvestingPro Insights

Understanding the financial health and market position of FactSet Research Systems (NYSE:FDS) can be enriched by considering key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. With a market capitalization of $16.15 billion and a robust P/E ratio of 31.96, FactSet stands out as a significant player in its industry. The company's commitment to returning value to shareholders is evident in its dividend track record, having raised its dividend for 25 consecutive years. Moreover, FactSet has maintained dividend payments for 26 consecutive years, showcasing its financial stability and investor-friendly approach.

While the company's earnings multiples may appear high with a P/E ratio of 31.96 and a PEG ratio of 16.86, these figures reflect FactSet's consistent profitability over the last twelve months. The company's gross profit margin stands at a healthy 53.26%, signaling efficient operations and strong pricing power. Additionally, FactSet's revenue has grown by 6.23% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, demonstrating its ability to expand amidst dynamic market conditions.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that while analysts have revised their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, they also predict the company will remain profitable this year. For investors seeking a deeper analysis and more tips, InvestingPro offers additional insights into FactSet's performance and future outlook. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and discover the 5 additional tips listed on InvestingPro for FactSet Research Systems at https://www.investing.com/pro/FDS.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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