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Deutsche Bank lifts Welltower shares target on robust earnings outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 21/08/2024, 10:50
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On Wednesday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) exhibited confidence in Welltower, Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:WELL) shares, a real estate investment trust, by increasing its price target from $115.00 to $137.00 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. This adjustment follows the company's notable performance, with a year-to-date increase of 28.1% in its stock price.

The first half of 2024 has been particularly strong for Welltower, as the company has not only beaten earnings expectations but has also increased its full-year 2024 guidance three times.

In the second quarter of 2024, Welltower's management revised its forecast for funds from operations (FFO) per share to $4.13 to $4.21, up from the prior estimate of $4.05 to $4.17. This update sets the midpoint at $4.17, previously $4.11, reflecting a robust year-over-year earnings growth of 14.5%.

Additionally, Welltower raised its same-store net operating income (NOI) growth outlook for its Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) to a range of 19.0% to 23.0%, an increase from the former range of 17.0% to 22.0%.

Deutsche Bank anticipates that the second half of 2024 will continue this positive trend, propelled by sustained strength in the SHOP segment and a solid balance sheet, which the firm believes will drive further investment activities.

The bank's analysis indicates that Welltower is setting an industry standard with its FFO growth, which supports the company's premium valuation of approximately 26.9 times the price of FFO.

This valuation stands out in comparison to the average for Healthcare REITs, which is around 14.2 times excluding Welltower, and also in relation to its closest competitor, Ventas (NYSE:VTR), which trades at approximately 18.0 times the price to FFO.

InvestingPro Insights

Welltower, Inc. (NYSE: WELL) has demonstrated considerable financial health and market performance, as highlighted by recent data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $70.92 billion, underscoring its substantial presence in the market. Despite a high P/E ratio of 109.62, Welltower's growth prospects appear promising, with a low PEG ratio of 0.36 indicating potential for earnings growth to outpace its P/E ratio in the near term.

From an operational perspective, Welltower has shown a strong revenue growth of 17.51% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, alongside a robust gross profit margin of 40.92%. These figures reflect the company's ability to efficiently manage its operations and profitability.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Welltower is expected to see net income growth this year, and analysts are anticipating sales growth in the current year. These insights, along with the company's history of maintaining dividend payments for 49 consecutive years, position Welltower as a prominent player in the Health Care REITs industry. For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Welltower, which can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/WELL.

Overall, the positive financial metrics and the optimistic outlook from analysts reinforce the Buy rating and increased price target set by Deutsche Bank, suggesting a strong potential for Welltower's continued performance in the market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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