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DA Davidson cuts Elastic NV target with neutral rating

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 30/08/2024, 16:10
ESTC
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DA Davidson adjusted its stance on Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC), reducing the price target to $75 from the previous $100. The firm continues to hold a Neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows Elastic's announcement of a challenging start to the year, marked by lower-than-anticipated customer commitments.

Elastic NV experienced a shift in its customer engagement strategy at the beginning of the quarter, which involved a new focus on strategic enterprises and high-potential mid-market customers. This change in segmentation has been identified as a contributing factor to the company's recent performance issues.

According to DA Davidson, the change in Elastic's approach has significantly altered its growth profile. This assessment led to the decision to maintain the Neutral rating while adjusting the price target downward to reflect the updated expectations for the company's financial outlook.

Elastic's revised strategy and its impact on customer commitments have prompted DA Davidson to recalibrate its valuation of the company. The price target adjustment from $100 to $75 indicates a revised view on the potential for Elastic's stock performance in the near term.

The firm's commentary on the situation underscores the challenges Elastic has faced in executing its new customer segmentation strategy.

Elastic NV has been in the spotlight due to disappointing first-quarter results and a reduction in revenue growth projections from 17% to 14%. This was attributed to a poorly executed sales segmentation change, leading to a reduction in contracted commitments.

Despite these setbacks, firms like Oppenheimer and Piper Sandler maintain their positive ratings on the company. On the other hand, TD Cowen and Truist Securities have reduced their price targets for Elastic NV due to these execution issues.

Elastic NV's cloud segment performed slightly better than anticipated, growing by 30%. However, the company reported a decline in customer commitments due to disruptions caused by changes in sales segmentation, which is expected to impact subscription growth for the remainder of the year.

The company provided Q2 revenue guidance of $353 million to $355 million and full-year guidance of $1.436 billion to $1.444 billion.

Analysts from various firms have expressed mixed views on the company's future, with some maintaining their positive ratings despite lowering price targets, and others downgrading their ratings due to concerns about disruptions in the company's sales organization.

InvestingPro Insights

As Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC) navigates through its strategic transformation, investors and analysts are closely monitoring its financial metrics and market performance. According to recent data from InvestingPro, Elastic's market capitalization stands at $7.77 billion, and the company holds a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 124.6, which further adjusts to 157.26 when looking at the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This indicates a premium valuation, which is echoed in the high price-to-book ratio of 14.43 for the same period.

Despite the challenges highlighted by DA Davidson, Elastic's revenue growth remains robust, with an 18.55% increase over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This growth is consistent on a quarterly basis as well, with a 19.67% increase in the same period. However, it's important to note that the company's operating income margin is in the negative territory at -9.67%, reflecting the costs associated with its strategic shifts.

For investors considering Elastic's potential, InvestingPro Tips reveal that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and that analysts predict it will be profitable this year. These factors, combined with a high return over the last year of 70.57%, may suggest resilience despite near-term challenges. For a deeper dive into Elastic's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips, with a total of 10 tips currently available at: https://www.investing.com/pro/ESTC.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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