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BTIG raises Vaxcyte stock target, sees VAX-31 as solution to current pneumococcal vaccine complexities

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 03/09/2024, 17:18
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On Tuesday, BTIG, a well-known financial services firm, raised its price target for Vaxcyte (NASDAQ:PCVX) to $160 from the previous target of $98, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows positive results from Vaxcyte's latest vaccine technology, which has shown promise in extending immunization against a broader range of serotypes.

The technology in question is Vaxcyte's T-Cell sparing technology used in their VAX-24 vaccine, which has demonstrated the potential to immunize against more than 24 serotypes. This was evident from the data on the "mixed dose" Phase 2 cohorts. The recent developments have led to the successful addition of 11 additional serotypes in their VAX-31 vaccine, compared to the 20 serotypes covered by PCV-20, indicating ease in expanding coverage.

The analyst highlighted the impressive immunogenicity observed in the middle dose of VAX-31 and the reasonable safety profile of the higher dose, suggesting that a VAX-40 vaccine could be a feasible next step. This advancement not only solidifies Vaxcyte's pipeline but also positions their pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) as potentially the best ever produced.

The discussion during the analyst call also touched upon the prospects of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommending a PCV for all adults over the age of 50, a move which could significantly increase the use of PCVs.

The potential recommendation is being considered in light of the complexity of choosing between the current PCV20 and V116 offerings. V116 was designed to cover additional pneumococcal strains by omitting those covered by PCV20 that have declined in prevalence. However, this strategy might lead to an increase in prevalence of the omitted strains if they are no longer targeted by vaccination.

Vaxcyte's VAX-31 addresses this concern by providing coverage that combines the strengths of both PCV20 and V116, without the issue of interference that a direct combination would entail. Furthermore, the cost-effectiveness of universal vaccination for adults over 50 is under review, with debates focusing on the 50-65 age demographic.

The firm anticipates that the remarkable results from VAX-31, along with the boostable nature of PCVs and the aging population, will likely lead to a favorable recommendation from ACIP.

In other recent news, Vaxcyte has made significant strides with its vaccine candidate, VAX-31. The company has reported positive results from Phase 1/2 trials, which demonstrated strong data that exceeded necessary benchmarks. Jefferies, a financial services company, has maintained a Buy rating on Vaxcyte and raised the price target to $129, reflecting confidence in the vaccine's potential. The firm projects that VAX-31, if approved, could dominate a future pneumococcal conjugate vaccine market estimated to grow beyond $10 billion.

Vaxcyte has also announced the appointment of John P. Furey to its Board of Directors. Furey received a nonstatutory stock option grant valued at $800,000 and will receive an annual equity award worth $450,000. This is part of the recent changes in the company's corporate structure.

In addition, Vaxcyte's stock has been rated Outperform by Mizuho and Buy by BTIG and TD Cowen, reflecting confidence in the company's ongoing trials. These ratings come after the positive outcomes of the Phase 1/2 trial for VAX-31. Vaxcyte plans to advance VAX-31 to a Phase 3 program for adult immunization by mid-2025, following these promising results.

InvestingPro Insights

As Vaxcyte (NASDAQ:PCVX) continues to make significant strides in vaccine technology, investors are closely monitoring the company's financial health and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, Vaxcyte holds a market cap of approximately $12.36 billion. Despite a negative P/E ratio of -24.17, reflecting the company's current lack of profitability, there is a notable high return over the last year, with a 52.09% increase in price total return. This suggests investor optimism surrounding the company's future growth potential.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Vaxcyte has more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a positive sign of financial stability. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing a cushion for operational needs. On the flip side, analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, and the company suffers from weak gross profit margins. It's worth noting that there are 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available for Vaxcyte, which can be accessed for in-depth analysis and insights.

These financial metrics and expert tips provide a broader context for investors considering BTIG's revised price target and the promising results of Vaxcyte's vaccine technology. With the next earnings date set for November 4, 2024, stakeholders will be keenly watching for further developments and their impact on the company's valuation and stock performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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