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BTIG neutral on SoFi amid credit and regulation worries

Published 06/06/2024, 22:20
SOFI
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On Thursday, BTIG began covering SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) with a Neutral rating, citing several concerns that could impact the company's stock performance. The firm highlighted issues such as potential credit trend problems, questions about capital levels, and the possibility of increased banking regulations as factors that may continue to affect SoFi's shares negatively.

The analyst from BTIG pointed out that SoFi's unique accounting methods, which differ from those of many of its peers, pose challenges for financial analysis. There is a risk that SoFi may need to mark down the fair value of its portfolio, which would have adverse effects on its revenue and book equity value. Such a scenario could be triggered by actual credit losses, changes in financial audit requirements, or new bank regulator standards for calculating equity for minimum capital ratio purposes.

The coverage assumes that these factors will play a significant role in the company's near-term prospects. The concerns about credit trends relate to the quality of loans and the potential for defaults, which are critical considerations for financial institutions like SoFi.

Capital levels are another important aspect of the analysis, as they determine the company's ability to withstand financial stresses and regulatory demands. The current environment suggests that higher levels of capital may be required, which could put pressure on SoFi.

Lastly, the possibility of stricter bank regulation could mean that SoFi will have to adjust its practices to comply with new rules, potentially leading to higher costs or changes in its business model. The analyst's comments reflect an awareness of these regulatory challenges and their implications for SoFi's valuation and operations.

In other recent news, SoFi Technologies has been the subject of several analyst adjustments and strategic moves. The company reported first-quarter 2024 adjusted revenue and EBITDA of $581 million and $144 million, respectively, surpassing both BofA Securities' estimates and the consensus. Despite this, BofA Securities reduced its price target for SoFi from $9.50 to $9, maintaining a neutral rating on the stock. Similarly, UBS lowered its price target from $8.00 to $7.50, also keeping a neutral stance.

SoFi also completed a significant $350 million personal loan securitization with PGIM Fixed Income, part of Prudential Financial (NYSE:PRU). This move aligns with SoFi's strategy to diversify its capital sources and enhance its lending capabilities. Furthermore, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained its Market Perform rating on SoFi shares with a price target of $7.50, noting the company's increased sale of personal loans as a positive sign.

In addition to these developments, SoFi has made strategic moves to strengthen its balance sheet, including the exchange of convertible notes for common shares and the issuance of new convertible notes. These measures are anticipated to improve the company's capital structure. Finally, SoFi's management projects a 50% increase in the Financial Services and Technology segments by 2024, indicating potential for expansion and innovation.

InvestingPro Insights

As SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) navigates through the challenges highlighted by BTIG, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a deeper financial perspective. With a market capitalization of $7.49 billion, SoFi's valuation reflects investor sentiment towards its growth prospects and financial health. Despite the concerns raised, SoFi's revenue growth remains robust, with a 34.6% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, and a quarterly growth rate of 37.53% in Q1 2024, signaling strong demand for its financial products.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that SoFi is expected to see net income growth this year, yet it's important to note that the company is quickly burning through cash and two analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period. Furthermore, SoFi's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 6-month price total return of -12.42% as of the 158th day of 2024, which could be indicative of market uncertainty.

For investors considering SoFi's stock, it is also relevant to consider that the company does not pay dividends, which may influence investment decisions depending on individual income strategies. With additional insights available on InvestingPro, including 5 more tips for SoFi, interested readers can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, providing a comprehensive tool for making informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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