On Wednesday, Citi adjusted its outlook on American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO), listed on the New York Stock Exchange under NYSE:AEO. The firm's analyst revised the price target downward to $22.00 from the previous $24.00 while retaining a Neutral stance on the stock. The revision comes ahead of the company's second-quarter earnings report, which is expected to be released before the market opens on August 29.
The analyst anticipates that the second-quarter earnings per share (EPS) will align with consensus estimates, highlighting that total comparable sales are projected to increase by 6.7%, surpassing the consensus of 5.7%. This is attributed to stronger performance in American Eagle's brand, although it is somewhat mitigated by a slightly weaker gross margin (GM) than anticipated.
The revision in the price target is partly due to higher liquidations of Aerie swim products, which dampens the previous optimism about potential gross margin upside for the second quarter, despite a favorable calendar shift.
Looking forward to the second half of the year, the analyst foresees more challenges than advantages for the company's gross margin, citing factors such as unfavorable calendar shifts and Aerie's inventory position. While the trends at both American Eagle and Aerie brands appear strong for the second quarter, there is a cautious stance towards Aerie's second-half comparable sales, especially when compared to the double-digit growth from the previous year.
The firm expects management to increase its full-year 2024 sales and implied EPS guidance and to forecast third-quarter sales above consensus but with EPS in line with expectations. The analyst's commentary suggests a balanced risk/reward for American Eagle's shares in the near term, acknowledging the potential for stronger sales but also recognizing the possibility of weaker margins.
In other recent news, American Eagle Outfitters announced the appointment of Stephanie Pugliese as an independent director, expanding its board to eight members. Pugliese, a seasoned executive, brings over three decades of experience in brand-building.
The company also reported strong Q1 earnings, surpassing consensus estimates with an adjusted EPS of $0.61 and revenues reaching $1.14 billion.
Moreover, three Class II directors were elected at the company's annual stockholders meeting, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm.
Analysts from Barclays (LON:BARC) and J.P. Morgan have assigned an Overweight rating to American Eagle Outfitters, while TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating and CFRA maintained a Sell rating. UBS reiterated its Buy rating on the company, maintaining a steady stock price target of $35.00. These ratings reflect a mixed market outlook, with some analysts expressing optimism due to the company's "Powering Profitable Growth" plan and cost-saving measures, while others remain cautious.
These recent developments shed light on the company's strategic focus and financial outlook.
InvestingPro Insights
As American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) gears up for its second-quarter earnings report, the latest data from InvestingPro provides a snapshot of the company's financial health. With a market capitalization of $4.21 billion and a P/E ratio that has adjusted to 13.24 over the last twelve months as of Q1 2025, American Eagle is trading at multiples that suggest a value proposition relative to near-term earnings growth. The company's revenue growth for the same period has been steady at 6.16%, reflecting a consistent upward trajectory.
InvestingPro Tips indicate that American Eagle has been a model of consistency, maintaining dividend payments for 21 consecutive years and operating with a moderate level of debt. This financial discipline, combined with the fact that liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, may provide investors with a sense of stability. Furthermore, with analysts predicting the company will be profitable this year and having been profitable over the last twelve months, the outlook for sustained earnings remains positive.
For investors seeking further insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available for American Eagle, which can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/AEO. These tips delve deeper into the company's financial metrics and could offer valuable perspectives for those looking to make informed investment decisions.
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