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BofA keeps Chord Energy stock at a Buy, notes higher productivity in three-mile wells

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 21/08/2024, 15:12
CHRD
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities adjusted its outlook on Chord Energy Corp (NASDAQ:CHRD), increasing the price target to $208 from the previous target of $201. The firm maintained a Buy rating on the stock, signaling confidence in the company's performance.

Chord Energy, which was established in 2021, has been recognized for its commitment to maximizing capital efficiencies. According to BofA Securities, the company has outperformed in the exploration and production (E&P) sector by drilling more three-mile wells than any other company. This approach has traditionally been viewed as less productive than standard two-mile wells, with expectations of achieving only 80% of the productivity.

However, the latest findings suggest that Chord Energy's three-mile wells are performing at a higher level than previously anticipated, delivering 92% productivity compared to the two-mile wells. This increased efficiency is a significant indicator of the company's ability to do more with less.

The implication of this enhanced productivity is considerable for Chord Energy's operations. BofA Securities anticipates that the company could maintain its production levels with fewer wells. This efficiency could lead to a reduction in sustaining capital expenditures, with an estimated $1,380 million compared to the company's own guidance of $1,450 million.

The analyst from BofA Securities highlighted the real benefits of Chord Energy's strategy, emphasizing that the company's third-mile wells are holding up better than expected. This performance is seen as a contributing factor to the firm's decision to raise the price target on the stock, reflecting a positive outlook on Chord Energy's financial and operational future.

In other recent news, Chord Energy's Q2 2024 results have surpassed expectations, with oil volumes reaching the upper end of the guidance and a notable free cash flow of about $263 million, exceeding forecasts.

The company has also announced an increase in dividends, set at a base of $1.25 per share and a variable dividend of $1.27 per share, which represents 75% of the adjusted free cash flow. Despite weaker pricing for natural gas and NGLs affecting the adjusted free cash flow, the company remains optimistic about improving WTI and NGL realizations in the second half of the year.

Chord Energy has no plans to increase capital expenditure for the year and anticipates continued strong performance. The company is also focusing on sustainability, with plans to publish a report later in the year. Furthermore, Chord Energy expects to exceed the $200 million synergy target from the integration with Enerplus (NYSE:ERF), with anticipated synergies starting at the end of 2025 amounting to $700 million.

These developments come as Chord Energy continues to show improvements in drilling performance and completion efficiencies. The company has improved drilling cycle times by 16% and expects to increase daily barrel output by 40% with a new frac program. Plans are also in place to develop Enerplus acreage with longer and wider wells, with downtime improvements expected to start becoming evident by late 2025 or early 2026.

InvestingPro Insights

Chord Energy Corp (NASDAQ:CHRD) has been making waves in the E&P sector with its innovative drilling techniques, and the market is taking notice. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Chord Energy is currently trading near its 52-week low, with a price of $150.07, which could present an attractive entry point for investors. The company boasts a robust P/E ratio of 7.07, indicating that it may be undervalued relative to its earnings. Additionally, Chord Energy maintains a healthy dividend yield of 7.6%, showcasing its commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Chord Energy operates with a moderate level of debt and has demonstrated the ability to cover its interest payments with its cash flows. This financial stability is crucial in the volatile energy sector. Moreover, analysts predict the company will remain profitable this year, supported by a strong gross profit margin of 51.62% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. These metrics underscore the company's operational efficiency and its potential for sustained profitability.

For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Chord Energy, including insights on the company's stock volatility, profitability over the last twelve months, and its impressive returns over the last decade. Access to these valuable tips can be found at the InvestingPro platform, which currently lists a total of 9 additional tips for Chord Energy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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