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BMO cuts Celanese target to $138 on macro, op challenges

Published 07/08/2024, 18:48
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On Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on shares of Celanese Corporation (NYSE:CE), a global chemical and specialty materials company. The firm lowered its price target on the stock to $138 from $142 while maintaining a Market Perform rating.

The revision reflects concerns over a difficult macroeconomic environment and operational challenges, including supplier issues, that the company is currently facing. These factors have prompted a revision of the company's financial forecasts for the year 2024, leading to a lower expected performance.

The analyst from BMO Capital noted that despite the company's efforts to navigate these challenges through various strategic actions, it has been necessary to reset expectations for the upcoming year. The current situation has led to a more cautious outlook for Celanese's performance.

Looking ahead to 2025, the analyst indicated that unless there is a significant macroeconomic recovery, the expectations set by the market may still be on the higher side. However, the sentiment is that the risk-reward balance for Celanese is showing signs of improvement.

The firm is seeking greater clarity on the company's outlook for 2025, including a clearer path to potential earnings beats or upward revisions, before adopting a more constructive stance on the stock. BMO Capital's current position reflects a wait-and-see approach as the company navigates through the current economic and operational headwinds.

In other recent news, Celanese Corporation has been the subject of several analyst adjustments. Baird has revised its price target for the company to $150 from $180, maintaining an Outperform rating. This adjustment is based on the firm's analysis of Celanese's strong earnings and free cash flow conversion abilities in a challenging operating environment. Meanwhile, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) has upgraded its rating on Celanese from Underweight to Neutral, despite lowering its price target to $130 from $156.

In recent developments, the company's second-quarter earnings revealed performance issues were not as severe as initially perceived. Celanese has largely resolved its supply problems and forecasts improved operating rates in the Acetyl Chain during the third quarter of 2024. Despite some earnings adjustments and weaker demand conditions, the company maintains a steady outlook, expecting moderate growth in volumes and margins in the upcoming quarter.

In its second quarter 2024 earnings call, Celanese provided insights into its performance and expectations, despite market pressures. The company anticipates stable market conditions and moderate growth in volumes and margins, with particular growth in the automotive sector, especially in China. Despite challenges such as supplier issues and margin pressure, the company remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and growth prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

Amid the challenging macroeconomic landscape and operational hurdles faced by Celanese Corporation, recent data and analysis from InvestingPro provide a nuanced perspective on the company's stock. With a market capitalization of $13.89 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 7.22, Celanese appears to be trading at a valuation that might interest value-oriented investors. Notably, the company's P/E ratio is relatively low compared to near-term earnings growth, a point underscored by one of the InvestingPro Tips, which highlights the stock's low P/E ratio in relation to its earnings growth potential.

Additionally, Celanese has demonstrated a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders. This is evidenced by its track record of raising dividends for 14 consecutive years, an achievement that may appeal to income-focused investors. Moreover, the company's dividend yield is currently at 2.2%, with the last dividend ex-date reported as July 30, 2024.

While some analysts have revised their earnings estimates downwards for the upcoming period, it's important to note that Celanese has maintained profitability over the last twelve months. The firm's adjusted operating income for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stood at $1.144 billion, reinforcing its financial resilience. For investors seeking additional insights and metrics, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive suite of tips, including 6 more tips for Celanese, available at https://www.investing.com/pro/CE.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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