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Barclays trims Mobileye stock price target despite 3Q beat

Published 01/11/2024, 13:20
MBLY
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On Friday, Barclays (LON:BARC) made an adjustment to the price target for Mobileye N.V (NASDAQ:MBLY), reducing it from $19.00 to $18.00, while continuing to endorse the stock with an Overweight rating. The action follows Mobileye's third-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations, and the company's confirmation of its 2024 financial outlook, signaling a positive note on its stability.

The analyst from Barclays highlighted several key points in their commentary. Firstly, Mobileye's third-quarter performance beat market predictions and its steady guidance for 2024 was seen as a sign of encouraging stability within the company. Secondly, the analyst pointed out that while the timeline for advanced product awards remains unclear, securing such awards is crucial for the company's progress.

Additionally, the analyst expressed disappointment regarding the commentary on the volumes of SuperVision, Mobileye's advanced driver-assistance system. The expectation had been for more optimistic news on the uptake of this technology. Despite this, the possibility of reducing operating expenses was mentioned as a potential lever for the company to pull, underscoring the robustness of Mobileye's legacy business.

The reduction in the price target to $18.00 comes with a reiteration of the Overweight rating, suggesting that Barclays continues to view the stock favorably despite the lowered expectations. The Overweight rating indicates that the analyst believes the stock has a better value proposition compared to others in the sector.

In other recent news, Mobileye, a leader in Advanced Driver Assistance Systems, reported its third-quarter earnings, showing a mixed bag of results. The company experienced an 11% sequential revenue increase from Q2 but faced an 8% decline year-over-year, mainly due to a 9% drop in EyeQ volumes. Despite this, the company remains hopeful for its future, particularly with its upcoming products and strategic objectives.

Mobileye's operating expenses were reported at over $1 billion, with plans to reduce this in 2025. The company also reported a strong operating cash flow of $126 million. Mobileye's revenue guidance for 2024 remains unchanged, with EyeQ volumes forecasted between 28.4 million and 28.8 million units. The non-GAAP effective tax rate for 2024 is estimated at 18% to 20%.

Mobileye anticipates growth beginning in 2026, driven by major OEM design wins and expanding regulatory requirements for ADAS. The company is also confident in meeting new product launch milestones for late 2026 and expects to lead in the Indian automotive market. Interest in Robotaxi initiatives has resurged, with collaborations ongoing with OEMs like Volkswagen (ETR:VOWG_p).

These are the recent developments for the company.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent InvestingPro data and tips offer additional context to Barclays' analysis of Mobileye N.V (NASDAQ:MBLY). Despite the company's recent earnings beat, InvestingPro data shows that Mobileye's revenue declined by 10.26% over the last twelve months, aligning with the InvestingPro Tip that analysts anticipate sales decline in the current year. This could explain Barclays' cautious approach in lowering the price target.

However, an InvestingPro Tip suggests that net income is expected to grow this year, which may support Barclays' decision to maintain an Overweight rating. The company's financial health appears stable, with another InvestingPro Tip noting that Mobileye holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, potentially providing flexibility to manage the challenges highlighted by Barclays.

It's worth noting that InvestingPro's Fair Value for Mobileye stands at $18.49, closely aligning with Barclays' new price target of $18.00. This convergence of valuations from different sources may provide investors with additional confidence in the stock's potential.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Mobileye, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial position and market performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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