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Baird sees turning point for Tesla stock as Musk outlines Model 2 and margin recovery

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 24/10/2024, 08:54
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On Thursday, Baird reaffirmed its positive stance on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock, maintaining an Outperform rating and a $280.00 price target for the electric vehicle manufacturer. The firm's endorsement follows Tesla's strong third-quarter results, which surpassed their projections in several key areas.

The analyst from Baird highlighted that the quarterly performance could mark a pivotal moment for investor sentiment, especially with the forthcoming lower-cost vehicle and the recovery of auto gross margins. These updates align with the company's strategic direction and are anticipated to influence market perceptions positively.

Looking ahead, Baird has adjusted its forecasts for Tesla, anticipating uneven deliveries in 2025. This projection is due to expected production interruptions as Tesla transitions from its current vehicle lineup to the production of the more affordable "Model 2." Despite these anticipated fluctuations, Baird's outlook remains optimistic.

The firm's analysis is in sync with comments from Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who indicated modest year-over-year growth in 2024. Musk's statements also suggested a significant increase, estimated at around 20%, for the year 2025. These growth projections are based on the company's current trajectory and planned initiatives.

Baird's reiterated rating and price target reflect a confidence in Tesla's ability to navigate through the upcoming production changes and capitalize on the demand for more cost-effective electric vehicles. The firm's outlook underscores the potential for Tesla's continued growth and leadership in the EV market.

In other recent news, Tesla Inc. reported third-quarter revenue of $25.18 billion, a modest increase from $23.35 billion in the same period in 2023, though slightly below the $25.37 billion estimate from LSEG. Tesla's automotive gross profit margins, excluding credits, reached an impressive 17.1%, surpassing the consensus estimate of 14.5%. This success was attributed to the launch of the Full Self-Driving feature and improved logistics operations.

Analysts from Canaccord Genuity, RBC Capital, Piper Sandler, and Wedbush Securities have all recently updated their outlook on Tesla. Canaccord Genuity raised Tesla's price target to $278, citing strong revenue and earnings growth. RBC Capital also increased its price target to $249, maintaining an Outperform rating. Piper Sandler retained an Overweight rating and a price target of $310, while Wedbush Securities reiterated an Outperform rating with a $300 price target.

Tesla's CEO, Elon Musk, announced plans to launch a driverless ride-hailing service in California and Texas in 2024, as well as a new vehicle in the first half of 2025. These developments, along with the company's strong quarterly performance, reflect Tesla's ongoing focus on innovation, expansion, and financial growth.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Baird's optimistic outlook on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors. Tesla's market capitalization stands at an impressive $682.53 billion, reflecting its dominant position in the electric vehicle market. The company's P/E ratio of 54.8 indicates that investors are willing to pay a premium for Tesla's growth potential, aligning with Baird's positive sentiment.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Tesla "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and "liquid assets exceed short term obligations," suggesting a strong financial position to support its ambitious growth plans, including the transition to the lower-cost "Model 2" mentioned in Baird's analysis.

However, it's worth noting that Tesla's revenue growth has slowed to 1.37% over the last twelve months, which may explain Elon Musk's modest growth projections for 2024. Despite this, the company remains profitable, with a gross profit of $16.89 billion over the same period.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 20 additional tips on Tesla, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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