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B. Riley upgrades Redfin stock, betting on growth and profitability in a shifting market

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 03/09/2024, 09:42
RDFN
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On Tuesday, Redfin Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RDFN) stock received an upgraded rating from a B.Riley analyst, shifting from Neutral to Buy. Accompanying the upgrade, the price target for Redfin was also raised to $13.00, increasing significantly from the previous target of $7.50.

The upgrade is a response to several positive developments within the company. Redfin has made structural improvements to its core brokerage business with the introduction of a new initiative called Next.

This move is expected to position the company for growth and profitability as shifts occur in the real estate cycle. Additionally, the analyst anticipates a more favorable macroeconomic environment as interest rates are projected to decline in the upcoming months.

Redfin's efforts to diversify its revenue streams have also been acknowledged. The company's growing and profitable rentals business, which was acquired from bankruptcy approximately two years ago, is contributing to its financial stability.

Furthermore, Redfin is expected to see increased revenue and profit from the growing attachment of ancillary services, such as Title and Mortgage, to home transactions.

Despite potential pressure on buy-side agent commissions across the industry, Redfin is considered to be well-positioned to capture volume gains. The analyst believes that Redfin's EBITDA margin is on a trajectory to turn positive in 2025 and to continue expanding thereafter.

With the company's current valuation at 1.8 times its projected 2025 enterprise value to revenue, the analyst finds the risk/reward balance to be attractive for investors.

In other recent news, Redfin Corporation has announced its Q2 2024 financial results, reporting a 7% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $295 million.

The company's real estate services revenue exceeded expectations, hitting $188 million. CEO Glenn Kelman emphasized the company's resilience in the face of market challenges, noting a break-even adjusted EBITDA.

Operating expenses decreased by 19%, partially due to the integration of Rent, and ancillary businesses like Bay Equity and Title Forward contributed to success. Looking ahead, Redfin projects a Q3 adjusted EBITDA between $4 million and $12 million.

Despite some anticipated challenges, including a potential shift towards a buyer's market and a slow consumer response to lower mortgage rates, the company remains optimistic about future profitability and market share gains. These developments underscore Redfin's ongoing efforts to navigate market conditions and prioritize growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the recent upgrade by a B.Riley analyst, Redfin Corp. (NASDAQ: RDFN) has shown some intriguing financial metrics and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, Redfin's market capitalization stands at $1.14 billion, highlighting the company's size in the competitive real estate market. Despite challenges, Redfin has demonstrated resilience with a 26.39% return over the last month and an impressive 40.45% return over the last three months, signaling strong short-term performance and investor confidence.

InvestingPro Tips suggest a cautionary note, as three analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential headwinds. Moreover, with the stock exhibiting high price volatility, investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations in share price. Nonetheless, Redfin's strategy to diversify revenue streams and its initiative called Next may provide a buffer against these challenges.

For those seeking a deeper dive into Redfin's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips, with a total of 12 more insights available that can further inform investment decisions. These insights can be found at: https://www.investing.com/pro/RDFN

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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