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Analyst reduces Flywire shares target, questions market visibility

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/08/2024, 09:32
FLYW
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On Wednesday, RBC Capital adjusted its outlook on Flywire (NASDAQ:FLYW), a payment platform provider, by reducing the shares price target from $34.00 to $25.00. The firm maintained its Outperform rating on the shares.

The revision follows Flywire's acknowledgment of significant revenue challenges in the Canadian market due to stricter student visa policies that have resulted in lower enrollment rates.

The company has identified this issue as a major headwind, revising its expected revenue impact to approximately $30 million or more, up from the mid-teens million dollars previously forecasted. This update has necessitated a change in the company's guidance assumptions, particularly around the rates at which it expects to recapture lost business.

RBC Capital's analyst noted that while the adjustment in guidance by Flywire's management seems to be a cautious move, it does raise concerns about the company's visibility into its operations in other markets. The company's ability to forecast and navigate through the current challenges is being closely monitored by investors.

Flywire's recent report of increased revenue headwinds is a reflection of the difficulties facing companies that are heavily reliant on international student enrollments. The tightened student visa policies in Canada, which have led to decreased international student numbers, are directly impacting Flywire's performance.

Despite the lowered price target, RBC Capital's continued Outperform rating suggests that the firm still sees potential in Flywire's business model and market position. The company's strategy and response to these challenges will be key factors in determining its future growth and success.

In other recent news, Flywire has reported robust financial results, with revenue reaching $110.2 million in the first quarter of 2024, a 24% increase year-over-year. The company also saw a significant rise in adjusted gross profit to $71.9 million and nearly doubled its adjusted EBITDA to $13.2 million.

In addition to these earnings, Flywire announced the acquisition of Invoiced, a company specializing in Accounts Receivable (A/R) automation, aiming to enhance its B2B payments solution.

Analysts from Raymond James and Citi have maintained positive ratings on Flywire. Raymond James reiterated a Strong Buy rating with a $30.00 price target, while Citi maintained a Buy rating despite a lower revenue outlook impacted by foreign exchange factors. Both firms' analysis are rooted in detailed financial estimations and market expectations.

These are recent developments that reflect Flywire's strong positioning in the global payments industry. Flywire processed $7 billion in payments during the quarter, indicating a 23% growth, and serves over 4,000 clients across 50 countries.

The company remains optimistic about its market share expansion and customer value delivery, despite challenges such as tightening student visa policies and foreign exchange headwinds.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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