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Ahold Delhaize stock upgraded at HSBC, US margins surprise on the upside

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 23/09/2024, 11:32
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On Monday, HSBC (LON:HSBA) analyst Emmanuelle Vigneron upgraded shares of Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV (AD:NA) (OTC: ADRNY (OTC:ADRNY)) from Reduce to Hold, increasing the price target to EUR29.00 from EUR25.00. This adjustment reflects a more positive outlook on the company's stock due to its recent performance in the United States market.

The upgrade comes after Ahold Delhaize showed resilience in maintaining its U.S. profit margins during the second quarter of 2024, despite facing challenges such as low food inflation, negative sales volumes, and cost inflation in labor and services. These hurdles were offset by cost savings, higher allowances from suppliers, and reduced product shrinkage.

HSBC noted that Ahold Delhaize managed to create a buffer in its profitability base within the U.S. that could bolster growth investments in the latter half of 2024. Although overall volumes in the U.S. were slightly negative, a few of the company's brands experienced positive sales. The firm's strong market position on the U.S. East Coast has elicited a favorable response from suppliers looking to drive volumes.

The analyst highlighted the solid fundamentals of Ahold Delhaize, pointing out that over the past decade, the company has returned more than EUR20 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Ahold Delhaize's free cash flow (FCF) yield stands at 8.3%, which, while not the highest in the sector compared to Carrefour (EPA:CARR)'s 12%, is praised for its consistency over time.

In other recent news, Ahold Delhaize has reported a steady growth in its Q2 2024 earnings. The international food retail group showed a modest increase in net sales by 0.7% to EUR 22.3 billion, with an improved underlying operating margin. The company also raised its interim dividend to EUR 0.50, indicating a 2% increase. Ahold Delhaize also highlighted plans for organic growth, store remodeling, and a significant investment in price competitiveness across US brands.

In addition to these financial results, the company's online sales saw a rise of 3.4%. Ahold Delhaize is also set to invest EUR 1 billion in price competitiveness for US brands from 2025 to 2028. The company's share buyback program resulted in 18.3 million shares repurchased for EUR 501 million.

These recent developments indicate Ahold Delhaize's commitment to its 2024 outlook and strategic growth initiatives. The company's "Growing Together" strategy aims for 4% growth and a 4% European margin by 2025. However, the cessation of tobacco sales in the Netherlands is anticipated to negatively impact future sales.


InvestingPro Insights


Following the recent HSBC upgrade, it's worth noting that Ahold Delhaize (OTC: ADRNY) has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns and financial stability. According to InvestingPro Tips, management at Ahold Delhaize has been actively repurchasing shares, indicating confidence in the company's value. Additionally, Ahold Delhaize has a track record of raising its dividend for 3 consecutive years, showcasing a reliable income stream for investors.

From a valuation perspective, the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 15.72, with an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 at 12.94, reflecting a market sentiment that acknowledges its earnings potential. The dividend yield as of late 2024 is appealing at 4.07%, supported by a substantial dividend growth of 57.07% over the last year.

Investors should also consider the company's performance metrics provided by InvestingPro Data. Ahold Delhaize's market capitalization is robust at $31.77 billion, and its gross profit margin for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 is healthy at 26.8%. These figures, along with a solid revenue of $95.34 billion, underline the company's strong position in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry.

For those seeking additional insights, InvestingPro offers a wealth of tips on Ahold Delhaize, including analysis on short-term liquidity and price volatility. With a total of 10 InvestingPro Tips available, investors can delve deeper into the company's financial health and market positioning.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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