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U.S. natural gas futures crash to 3-year low on weather outlook

Published 27/10/2015, 13:15
© Reuters.  U.S. natural gas futures sink on warm weather outlook
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Investing.com - U.S. natural gas futures crashed to a more than three year low on Tuesday, as demand for the fuel was likely to remain limited after meteorologists predicted warmer-than-normal temperatures in much of the U.S. in the weeks ahead.

Natural gas for delivery in November on the New York Mercantile Exchange shed 0.1 cents, or 0.05%, to trade at $2.061 per million British thermal units during U.S. morning hours. It earlier fell to $1.948, a level not seen since April 2012. The front-month November contract expires on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the more actively traded December contract inched up 0.9 cents, or 0.38%, to $2.361 after tumbling to an intraday low of $2.327.

A day earlier, natural gas futures plummeted after updated forecasting models showed that unseasonably warm readings will persist in much of the country through November 6, dampening demand expectations for the fuel.

Bearish speculators are betting on the warm weather reducing early-winter demand for the heating fuel. The heating season from November through March is the peak demand period for U.S. gas consumption.

Meanwhile, U.S. supply levels remained in focus. Natural gas supplies in storage increased by 81 billion cubic feet, according to the Energy Information Administration, below expectations for an increase of 88 billion.

Supplies rose by 100 billion cubic feet in the prior week, 94 billion cubic feet in the same week last year, while the five-year average change for the week was an increase of 84 billion cubic feet.

Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 3.814 trillion cubic feet, 4.5% above the five-year average for this time of year. Last spring, supplies were 55% below the five-year average, indicating producers have more than made up for all of last winter’s unusually strong demand.

Stockpiles are set to reach a record by the end of this month. The EIA sees storage levels peaking at 3.956 trillion in November, which would top the November 2012 high of 3.929 trillion.

The EIA's next storage report slated for release on Thursday, October 29 is expected to show a build of approximately 90 billion cubic feet for the week ending October 23.

That compares with builds of 87 billion cubic feet in the same week last year, while the five-year average change for the week is an increase of 81 billion cubic feet.

Elsewhere on the Nymex, crude oil for delivery in December dropped $1.18, or 2.68%, to trade at $42.80 a barrel, while heating oil for November delivery tacked on 0.59% to trade at $1.434 per gallon.

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