💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Oil eases off four-month high as speculators doubt deal to cut output

Published 10/10/2016, 11:53
© Reuters. Flames emerge from a pipeline at the oil fields in Basra, southeast of Baghdad
CBKG
-
LCO
-
CL
-

By Karolin Schaps

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil eased off four-month highs on Monday as doubts that oil producers can reach a meaningful output cut deal prompted some speculators to unwind bullish bets.

Global benchmark Brent crude futures (LCOc1) were down 9 cents at $51.84 a barrel at 1029 GMT, around 2 percent lower than the four-month high reached on Friday.

U.S. futures (CLc1) also retreated from last week's highs, and were last down 19 cents at $49.62 a barrel.

"Prices are down on profit-taking by speculators who ramped up net long positions big time in early October. They have increasing doubts over the promised OPEC production cuts," said Carsten Fritsch, commodities analyst at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) in Frankfurt.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) aims to agree an output cut by the time it meets in late November. The goal is to cut production to a range of 32.50 million barrels per day (bpd) to 33.0 million bpd.

OPEC's current output is a record 33.6 million bpd.

Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said on Monday that OPEC should not cut oil supply too steeply, already hinting at milder market intervention.

"It is a very gentle hand on the wheel, we are not doing anything dramatic," Falih said, speaking at the World Energy Congress in Istanbul, where several oil producers will hold sideline talks.

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak further watered down a potential production cut deal involving non-OPEC members by saying Moscow preferred an output freeze over a cut.

"We in general will look at this (proposal) but I think that for us a more favourable situation would be to maintain output levels," he said, attending the same event.

Analysts at ABN Amro also took a cautious view on an OPEC deal, saying previous hints by the group at output cuts have always failed to have been followed up by action.

"Adding to these doubts is the realisation that certain OPEC countries are demanding to be treated as exceptions," analysts said, referring to Libya and Nigeria, whose production has been affected by domestic unrest.

OPEC members Iran and Iraq are also not attending this week's Istanbul meetings, sources told Reuters, despite previous expectations that they would be present.

© Reuters. Flames emerge from a pipeline at the oil fields in Basra, southeast of Baghdad

Iraq, OPEC's second biggest producer, had already poured cold water on expectations, saying over the weekend that it wants to raise output further in 2017.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.