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Oil extend gains as U.S. crude stocks may drop for second week

Published 13/05/2015, 06:01
© Reuters. Offshore oil platform is seen in Huntington Beach
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By Florence Tan

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil extended gains on Wednesday after posting its strongest daily rise in weeks in the previous session, supported by bets that U.S. crude stockpiles will fall for a second straight week as production slows.

U.S. crude futures neared 2015 highs after industry data showed a larger than expected drawdown in crude and oil products stockpiles last week. Months of low prices have spurred U.S. shale production cuts and lifted global oil demand.

"Lower oil prices are already showing signs of demand stimulation, especially in transportation fuels," Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analysts said in a note.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries raised its 2015 global oil demand forecast to 1.18 million barrels per day, above a previous estimate of 1.17 million, while investors shrugged off concerns about excess supply.

June Brent crude rose 44 cents to $67.30 a barrel by 0446 GMT. U.S. crude was up 59 cents to $61.34 a barrel.

U.S. crude rose 2.5 percent and Brent 3 percent on Tuesday, underpinned by a weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Saudi-led air strikes in Yemen ahead of a five-day truce to begin later Tuesday raised concerns over the security of oil supplies in the Middle East.

A modest drop in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies also supported oil prices. Dollar-denominated commodities become more affordable to holders of other currencies when the greenback weakens. [FRX/]

In the United States, crude inventories fell by 2 million barrels in the week to May 8 against analysts' expectations for an increase of 0.386 million barrels, data from the American Petroleum Institute showed late on Tuesday. [API/S]

Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub fell by 827,000 barrels, API said.

Stockpiles at Cushing have likely peaked as it receives less crude from Canada and Midland, oil consultancy PIRA Energy said in a report.

The U.S. government has also cut its 2015 forecast for crude output growth to 530,000 bpd from 550,000, and 2016 growth to 20,000, from 80,000 previously.

But recent price gains could encourage more production.

© Reuters. Offshore oil platform is seen in Huntington Beach

"Any increases in prices would see an automatic response from the market especially the lower cost producers such as those in the Permian Basin," Shunling Yap, a senior oil analyst at BMI Research said.

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