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Oil prices extend losses on looming gasoline glut

Published 05/04/2016, 08:03
© Reuters. Worker grabs a nozzle at a petrol station in Tehran
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By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices dropped for a third session in a row on Tuesday, as weakening demand for gasoline and persistent doubts on whether crude producers will be able to reach an agreement to rein in a worldwide supply glut dragged on the market.

Growth in gasoline use has been one of the strongest pillars supporting demand across the fuel complex in both North America and Asia and has been largely credited for providing a floor under crude prices that have slumped as much as 70 percent since mid-2014 due surplus supply.

The decline on Tuesday follows data showing U.S. gasoline demand during January fell for the first time in 14 months, while overall U.S. oil demand fell 1 percent that month from a year ago.

Front month U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude (CLc1) was trading at $35.51 per barrel at 0652 GMT, down 19 cents from their last settlement. International Brent futures (LCOc1) were down 9 cents at $37.60 per barrel.

"Crude prices and timespreads have weakened in recent days in line with softer fundamentals," consultancy Energy Aspects said. "Although Q2 is always a slow period for crude demand amidst peak refinery works, it seems like Asia may have somewhat overdone the crude buying and is therefore pausing for breath."

In Asia, traders have stored excess gasoline on tankers as onshore storage facilities in Singapore and Malaysia are filled to the rims.

Analysts said crude prices could soon fall again as an emerging gasoline glut potentially adds to a global overhang in crude output that sees more than 1 million barrels of oil produced in excess of demand every day.

"Global oil balances will witness sizeable implied inventory builds in H1'16, suggesting that the price of oil can easily revisit the lows seen earlier this year," French bank BNP Paribas (PA:BNPP) said.

To address the crude overhang, major producers like Saudi Arabia and Russia have proposed a freeze in output at January levels, when both pumped at or near record levels.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other big producers are set to meet in Doha, Qatar in two weeks to discuss the plan.

But prospects for a deal look dim, with the Saudis declining to participate without Iran, and Russia reporting its highest output in 30 years just weeks before the meeting.

"Only a feeble mind sees a freeze in production as good news. It is the worst news as it guarantees over-production and rising inventories," consultancy FGE said.

© Reuters. Worker grabs a nozzle at a petrol station in Tehran

Crude prices could see a downward correction to between $25 and $35 per barrel in the second quarter, it added.

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