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Gold stays near 3-week highs, but rising equities dampen appeal

Published 01/08/2016, 07:56
Updated 01/08/2016, 08:07
© Reuters.  Gold stays near 3-week highs in early trade
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Investing.com - Gold prices edged lower in European trade on Monday, as investors looked to buy into rising equity markets rather than purchasing safe-haven assets, but prices held near three-week highs amid waning expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates anytime soon.

Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange dipped $2.45, or 0.18% to trade at $1,355.05 a troy ounce by 06:55GMT, or 2:55AM ET.

On Friday, prices jumped to a daily peak of $1,362.00, the most since July 11, after data showed the U.S. economy grew much slower than expected in the second quarter, sending the dollar to five-week lows and prompting market players to roll back expectations of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve.

The advance read on second quarter GDP showed a 1.2% annualized growth rate, well below expectations for 2.6%, the Commerce Department said on Friday. First quarter GDP was revised lower to 0.8% from 1.1%.

The disappointing data lessened the threat of an early interest rate rise from the Federal Reserve. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in just a 12% chance of a rate hike by September. December odds were at 33%, down from 43% ahead of the GDP report and compared to 53% at the start of last week.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, plunged to a five-week low of 95.34 in wake of the disappointing GDP report. It was at 95.63 by early Monday.

The precious metal scored a weekly gain of $33.30, or 1.96%, last week, after the Fed left interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its policy meeting and said near-term risks to the U.S. economic outlook had diminished. However, the central bank stopped short of signaling that a further increase in U.S. interest rates is on the cards for later this year.

Gold is sensitive to moves in U.S. rates. A gradual path to higher rates is seen as less of a threat to gold prices than a swift series of increases.

Gold ended July with a gain of 3%. For the year, prices are up nearly 26%, boosted by concerns over global growth and expectations of monetary stimulus.

The yellow metal surged to a more than two-year high of $1,377.50 in early July, as concerns surrounding global growth in wake of Britain’s vote to exit the European Union sent investors flooding into safe haven assets.

Also on the Comex, silver futures for September delivery jumped 22.1 cents, or 1.09%, to trade at $20.56 a troy ounce during morning hours in London, while copper futures inched up 2.2 cents, or 0.97%, to $2.243 a pound.

Weak Chinese manufacturing activity data released earlier underlined concerns over the health of the world’s second largest economy. The official China manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to 49.9 in July from 50.0 a month earlier, the first contraction in five months.

The disappointing data added to fears the economy will slow in coming months unless the government steps up a huge spending spree.

While a similar private survey showed business picked up for the first time in 17 months, the increase was only slight and the much larger official survey suggested China's overall industrial activity remains sluggish at best.

The Asian nation is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for nearly 45% of world consumption.

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