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Gold Futures - Weekly Outlook: March 13 - 17

Published 12/03/2017, 11:28
Updated 12/03/2017, 11:35
© Reuters.  Gold loses 2% for the week

© Reuters. Gold loses 2% for the week

Investing.com - Gold prices settled lower for the ninth session in a row on Friday, after strong U.S. employment data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next week.

Comex gold futures declined $1.80, or about 0.2%, to settle at $1,201.40 a troy ounce by close of trade Friday. It fell to $1,194.50 earlier, the lowest since January 31.

For the week, prices of the yellow metal lost around 2%, the second consecutive weekly decline.

The U.S. economy added 235,000 jobs in February from the prior month, as the construction sector recorded its largest gain in nearly 10 years due to unseasonably warm weather, the Labor Department said Friday.

The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.7% from 4.8% in January, even as more people rushed into the labor market.

But average hourly earnings rose just 0.2% in February from a year earlier, below expectations for a 0.3% rise. The small gain lifted the year-on-year increase in earnings to 2.8%, disappointing some investors.

U.S. short-term interest rate futures were little changed following the employment report, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool, underscoring the likelihood that the U.S. central bank will raise rates next week and two more times in 2017.

The dollar fell against a basket of currencies amid disappointment that wages were only growing gradually.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, dropped 0.6% to close at 101.38 on Friday. It touched 101.17 earlier, its lowest since February 28.

Also on the Comex, silver futures for May delivery shed 11.3 cents, or around 0.7%, to $16.92 a troy ounce, after touching $16.85, the lowest since January 27. It ended down roughly 4.6% for the week.

Meanwhile, platinum inched up less than 0.1% to finish at $938.20 an ounce. For the week, it fell around 5.7%.

Palladium dipped 0.4% to $745.15 an ounce, taking its losses for the week to about 3%.

Elsewhere in metals trading, copper futures tacked on 1.5 cents, or 0.6%, to $2.595 a pound. The red metal still recorded a weekly loss of 3.7%.

Global financial markets will be busy with central bank meetings in the week ahead, with policy decisions due in the U.S., Japan, the U.K and Switzerland.

Investors will also keep an eye out for headlines coming out of a two-day meeting of G20 central bankers and finance ministers in Germany for further hints on the strength of the global economy and the future direction of monetary policy.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Tuesday, March 14

China is to publish figures on industrial production and fixed asset investment.

The ZEW Institute is to report on German economic sentiment.

The U.S. is to produce data on producer price inflation.

Wednesday, March 15

The U.S. is to release reports on consumer price inflation, retail sales and manufacturing activity in the New York region.

Later in the day, the Federal Reserve is to announce its latest monetary policy decision and Fed Chair Janet Yellen is to hold a press conference to discuss its updated economic projections.

Thursday, March 16

The Bank of Japan is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish a policy statement outlining economic conditions and the factors affecting the policy decision. The announcement is to be followed by a press conference.

The Swiss National Bank is to announce its Libor rate decision and publish its monetary policy assessment.

The Bank of England is to announce its latest interest rate decision and publish the minutes of its policy meeting.

The U.S. is to release a series of economic reports, including data on building permits and housing starts, jobless claims and manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region.

Friday, March 17

Finance ministers and central bank heads from the world's 20 developed and developing economies will meet in the German town of Baden Baden to discuss the global economy.

The U.S. is to round up the week with a report on industrial production and a preliminary reading of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan.

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