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Westlake Chemical stock target cut, holds Market Perform on challenges

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 13/11/2024, 15:00
WLK
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On Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its stance on shares of Westlake Chemical Corporation (NYSE:WLK), reducing the price target to $165 from the previous $171 while maintaining a Market Perform rating.

The decision comes after the company experienced a challenging third quarter, influenced by temporary operational issues and adverse weather conditions. Excluding these factors, the results would have closely met market expectations.

The analysis by BMO Capital pointed out that Westlake Chemical's third-quarter performance was negatively affected, but it could have aligned with forecasts if not for the operational and weather setbacks. As the company moves forward, management anticipates the typical weaker seasonality to affect the fourth quarter.

Despite the uncertain chlor-alkali market outlook and a softer near-term macroeconomic environment leading to slightly lower forecasts, Westlake Chemical's robust financial position is highlighted as a positive factor.

The firm expects the company to become more proactive in mergers and acquisitions, leveraging its strong balance sheet. BMO Capital recognizes Westlake Chemical as one of the more favorably situated companies within the commodity-exposed sector covered by the firm. The analyst's commentary underlines a balanced risk-reward scenario for the company, which supports the decision to maintain the Market Perform rating while adjusting the price target.

The report also reflects on the broader industry context, where Westlake Chemical is seen as well-positioned despite the current challenges. The company's financial strength is expected to play a key role in navigating the uncertain market conditions and potentially capitalizing on growth opportunities through strategic acquisitions.

In summary, BMO Capital's updated outlook for Westlake Chemical takes into account the temporary challenges faced in the recent quarter, the expected seasonal trends, and the broader economic conditions. The firm's maintained Market Perform rating alongside the revised price target suggests a cautious but stable view of the company's stock performance in the near term.

In other recent news, Westlake Chemical Corporation faced significant challenges in its third-quarter performance, resulting in RBC Capital Markets adjusting its outlook on the company's shares. The company's operations, which were affected by approximately $120 million in outage and weather-related impacts, have resumed, despite anticipated headwinds in the fourth quarter.

Westlake Chemical reported Q3 2024 results with net sales of $3.1 billion and net income of $183 million, or $1.41 per share, influenced by a $75 million after-tax expense for mothballing two European epoxy units and $120 million in losses due to extended maintenance outages.

RBC Capital has revised its EBITDA estimates for Westlake Chemical, lowering the fourth-quarter 2024, full-year 2024, and full-year 2025 forecasts. Furthermore, the new stock price target of $167.00 is based on an 8.5 times multiple of the estimated 2025 EBITDA. Despite the near-term headwinds, RBC Capital's Outperform rating indicates a positive outlook on Westlake Chemical's stock over a longer-term horizon.

These are recent developments and are subject to change as Westlake Chemical continues to navigate its industry landscape. The company maintains a strong cash position of $2.9 billion and is targeting cost savings of $125 million to $150 million for 2024.

Westlake Chemical expects HIP revenue between $4.3 billion to $4.6 billion for the full year and capital expenditures around $1 billion. The company also anticipates a decrease in interest rates in 2025, which could stimulate demand in the housing market.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement BMO Capital's analysis of Westlake Chemical Corporation (NYSE:WLK), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context. Despite the challenges noted in the third quarter, WLK's financials show some resilience. The company's market capitalization stands at $16.49 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the chemical industry.

InvestingPro data reveals that Westlake's P/E ratio (adjusted) for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 is 40.98, which is considerably lower than the current P/E ratio of 174.83. This discrepancy suggests that recent earnings may have been impacted by the operational issues mentioned in the article, potentially offering a more normalized valuation perspective.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Westlake has raised its dividend for 19 consecutive years, underscoring the company's commitment to shareholder returns even in challenging times. This aligns with the article's mention of Westlake's robust financial position. Additionally, the current dividend yield of 1.64% and a dividend growth of 5% in the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 further support this view.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that Westlake is trading at a low Price to Book ratio of 1.54, which could indicate potential value for investors, especially considering BMO Capital's maintained Market Perform rating.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 15 additional tips for Westlake Chemical Corporation, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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