On Monday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) maintained its Outperform rating on NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) and increased the price target to $165 from $140. The firm anticipates an in-line guidance for NVIDIA's January quarter, with expectations of $36.7 billion, which aligns with the consensus. The growth projections for the company's Data Center revenue are significant, with an expected increase of 131% year-over-year in fiscal year 2025 and 47% in fiscal year 2026.
NVIDIA's GB200 superchip is slated to begin shipping in 2025, which is forecasted to be a strong year for the company. The focus appears to be on NVL72 racks, which boast high gross margins of 75% and an average selling price of around $3 million. The second half of fiscal year 2025 is expected to see the launch of the GB300 and GB300A (Blackwell "Ultra") air-cooled chips, targeting Enterprise and Tier-2 CSP (LON:CSPC) markets. For fiscal year 2026, the estimates have been raised from $170 billion and $3.85 in earnings per share to $179 billion and $4.04, respectively.
The report also highlights NVIDIA's dominance in the AI Server Total (EPA:TTEF) Addressable Market (TAM), which is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of over 60% from 2023 to 2027, reaching more than $400 billion per year. NVIDIA has identified opportunities in enterprise and Tier-II Sovereign AI, which are expected to contribute significantly to the company's growth, starting in fiscal year 2025, with estimated revenues exceeding $10 billion. This expansion is seen as a way for NVIDIA to extend its reach beyond its current hyperscale customer base.
NVIDIA's long-term data center demand is estimated at around $500 billion per year, with new AI data centers potentially driving about $250 billion per year of this demand. This suggests a substantial replacement demand for upgrading the existing $1 trillion installed data center base. The upcoming launch of the GB300A in the second half of fiscal year 2025 is anticipated to further expand NVIDIA's TAM into additional markets.
NVIDIA is set to report its earnings on November 20, 2024. The anticipation around its product launches and strong growth forecasts in the data center segment underlines Mizuho's positive outlook on the stock.
In other recent news, NVIDIA has seen positive appraisal from several analysts. UBS has increased its price target for NVIDIA to $185, maintaining a Buy rating, anticipating strong revenue figures for the third and fourth fiscal quarters. The firm expects the third quarter revenue to land between $34.5 billion and $35 billion, and the fourth quarter revenues to reach approximately $39 billion. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Piper Sandler maintained their Overweight ratings, with Morgan Stanley raising the price target from $150 to $160 and Piper Sandler from $140 to $175.
These adjustments reflect NVIDIA's expected improved gross margins and leading role in the AI accelerators market. Melius also raised the price target to $185, pointing to NVIDIA's attractive price-to-earnings ratio and strong capital expenditure intentions among the top five AI infrastructure spenders. In the AI sector, OpenAI's new training techniques may influence demand for resources, including energy and chip types.
InvestingPro Insights
NVIDIA's stellar performance and future prospects highlighted in the article are further supported by real-time data and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $3.55 trillion, reflecting its dominant position in the semiconductor industry. NVIDIA's revenue growth has been nothing short of extraordinary, with a 194.69% increase in the last twelve months as of Q2 2025, aligning with the article's emphasis on strong growth projections.
InvestingPro Tips underscore NVIDIA's financial strength and market position. The company boasts impressive gross profit margins, which is consistent with the article's mention of high gross margins for NVL72 racks. Additionally, NVIDIA has maintained dividend payments for 13 consecutive years, indicating financial stability amidst rapid growth.
The company's P/E ratio of 67.77 might seem high, but when considering the PEG ratio of 0.16, it suggests that NVIDIA is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth. This aligns with the article's positive outlook on NVIDIA's future performance.
For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 23 additional tips for NVIDIA, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.
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