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Dr. Reddy's stock outlook tempered by Citi despite revenue boost and biosimilar potential

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/11/2024, 07:18
RDY
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On Thursday, Citi updated its stance on Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. (DRRD:IN) (NYSE: RDY) stock, raising the price target to INR 1,110.00 from INR 1,106.00. Despite the slight increase, the firm continues to recommend a Sell rating.

The revision follows Dr. Reddy's second-quarter financial results, which were reported to be broadly consistent with expectations. The company's performance in markets outside the United States helped to balance a weaker US market presence. Quarter-over-quarter gross margins declined slightly by 80 basis points, attributed to changes in product mix and some pricing pressures on key products in the US.

Adjusted EBITDA margins remained relatively stable quarter-over-quarter at 27.4%. The company's generic version of Revlimid contributed significantly to its revenue, with estimates suggesting a contribution of approximately $200-220 million in the second quarter.

Dr. Reddy's has increased its research and development spending to about 9% of its revenues, with a significant portion allocated to the development of biosimilars and peptides, including GLP-1. However, the analyst expressed skepticism regarding the market opportunity for the generic GLP-1 (Semaglutide) in emerging markets due to intense competition, particularly from China-based active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) producers.

On a more positive note, Citi highlighted the potential for biosimilar Abatacept to become a significant product for Dr. Reddy's by the financial year 2028, provided the company can successfully navigate the complexities of its development. Despite this potential, the firm's current assessment remains a Sell on Dr. Reddy's stock.

In other recent news, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories reported a strong financial performance with consolidated revenues of $957 million, a 17% year-over-year increase. The growth in revenues was supported by a gross profit margin of 59.6% and an EBITDA of $272 million, a 5% increase from the previous year. The company attributed the financial growth to an improved product mix and strategic acquisitions.

Dr. Reddy's also noted significant regional growth in North America, Europe, Emerging Markets, and India. The company has recently acquired the Nicotinell portfolio and entered a partnership with Nestlé India. It has also launched 22 new products in emerging markets and entered a licensing agreement with Gilead (NASDAQ:GILD).

The company has received multiple regulatory approvals and positive FDA inspections. However, there was a slight decline in North America generics revenue and a 100% impairment noted for a generic product due to supply issues. Future growth is expected to continue with strategic investments planned for injectables, biosimilars, and APIs.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Citi's analysis of Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. (NYSE: RDY), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context. The company's market capitalization stands at $12.73 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the pharmaceutical industry. RDY's P/E ratio of 20.21 suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for its earnings, which aligns with its status as a prominent player in the pharmaceuticals sector.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that RDY has maintained dividend payments for 24 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns. This consistent dividend history may be particularly appealing to income-focused investors, especially given the company's moderate debt levels. Additionally, RDY's stock generally trades with low price volatility, which could be attractive to risk-averse investors.

The company's financial health appears robust, with InvestingPro data showing a revenue growth of 12.37% over the last twelve months and a strong return over the past five years. These metrics support Citi's observation of the company's solid performance in markets outside the US.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips that could provide deeper insights into RDY's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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