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Canaccord cautious on Doximity stock as robust growth already priced in

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 13/11/2024, 07:50
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On Wednesday, Canaccord Genuity adjusted its stance on Doximity Inc (NYSE:DOCS), downgrading the stock from Buy to Hold while raising the price target to $60 from $40. This decision follows the company's impressive second-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report, which showcased Doximity's exceptional performance.

The analyst at Canaccord Genuity noted that Doximity has been executing its business strategy without fault, surpassing both estimates and guidance. The company reported record adjusted EBITDA margins exceeding 55% and demonstrated strong free cash flow production. Despite these positive outcomes, the analyst cited the sharp 30%+ increase in Doximity's share price following the earnings release as a reason for the downgrade.

The significant rise in the stock price reflects market expectations of a return to very robust growth rates of 20% or higher, which had been seen in previous years. The analyst expressed caution, suggesting that these high expectations are now factored into the stock's valuation.

The analyst acknowledged the possibility that stepping back at this time might mean missing out on further price appreciation. Nevertheless, the recommendation to move to a Hold rating is based on the belief that it is prudent not to encourage new investment in the stock under the current market conditions with such elevated expectations.

Doximity's recent performance has been strong, but the updated guidance from Canaccord Genuity signals a more conservative approach in the face of rapid share price gains and market anticipation of continued high growth.

In other recent news, Doximity, Inc. showcased robust second-quarter results for fiscal 2025, with a 20% year-over-year revenue increase to $137 million, surpassing expectations. The company also reported a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 56%, translating to $76 million, indicating a 41% increase from the previous year. User engagement metrics also saw growth, with over 600,000 active prescribers and more than 1 million Doximity GPT prompts in Q2.

These recent developments include the introduction of a new client portal, now used by over 40% of pharma clients, with full rollout expected in early 2025. For the third quarter, Doximity projects revenue to be between $152 million and $153 million, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $83 million to $84 million. The company has also raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $535 million and $540 million.

However, Doximity anticipates Q4 revenue challenges due to disciplined annual budgeting by clients and potential product launch delays. Increased operational expenses are also expected in the second half of the year due to higher commission payouts and investments in data and research. Despite these potential headwinds, Doximity maintains a strong cash balance of $806 million and has repurchased $22.1 million in shares during Q2.

InvestingPro Insights

Doximity's recent market performance aligns with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's stock has seen a remarkable 63.15% price return over the last three months, and an even more impressive 152.5% return over the past six months, reflecting the strong market reaction to its recent earnings report.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Doximity's financial strength, noting that the company "operates with a moderate level of debt" and has "liquid assets exceed[ing] short term obligations." These factors contribute to the company's financial stability, which likely played a role in Canaccord Genuity's decision to raise the price target despite the downgrade.

The company's impressive gross profit margin of 89.94% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025 underscores its operational efficiency, aligning with the InvestingPro Tip that points out Doximity's "impressive gross profit margins." This efficiency is further reflected in the strong adjusted EBITDA margins mentioned in the article.

However, investors should note that Doximity is "trading at a high earnings multiple" and "near [its] 52-week high," as indicated by InvestingPro Tips. These factors may support Canaccord Genuity's cautious stance and downgrade to Hold, given the current valuation levels.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 21 additional tips for Doximity, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial position and market performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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