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Does June's unexpected fall in the rate of inflation herald the start of a retreat? It seems unlikely. The fall in sterling that has helped push inflation higher is still filtering through into...
Despite yet another strong set of job numbers there are still no signs of life in the wage growth figures. In response consumers are saving less and borrowing more. That's not a sustainable solution. ...
Hope fades that the UK economy managed to step up a gear in Q2. Most estimates now suggest quarterly UK GDP growth was 0.3% in the three months to June, barely an improvement on Q1’s...
The UK’s propensity to borrow too much and save too little has echoes of the recent past. Yet investment is up and there’s little sign of imminent danger. Still, the Bank of...
“Give me a one-handed economist,” pleaded President Harry Truman, “all my economists say, ‘on the one hand, but on the other’.” On the one hand. Last week two...
Three members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted last week to raise Bank Rate to 0.5%, a surprise to say the least. At 2.9%, inflation is above target and heading higher. Yet while employment...
The clear winner of last week’s election was YouGov, the polling company that got the result just about right. For the rest of us, uncertainty looms. While it’s commonplace to say...
Business surveys paint a rosy picture of Britain's economy. Growth looks healthy. While still-strong job growth is supporting part of the growth in consumers' spending, the balance is down to...
The UK economy grew by just 0.2% between January and March, a sharp slowdown from the 0.7% recorded in the final quarter of 2016. The sterling-induced rise in inflation is biting. With prices rising...
The UK job market is going like a train, setting records at almost every turn. But wage growth is slipping and prices are now rising faster than pay. For consumers, the squeeze is on and there’s...
Inflation continues to rise above the 2% target but the Bank of England sees no need to raise rates (yet). That’s the way things will remain for some time, just as long as expectations of...
For years now it has been a struggle to find anything positive to write about the eurozone economy. Plagued by slow growth, high unemployment and intermittent sovereign debt crises it has been the...
Not for the first time, it appears inflation is making a bit of nuisance of itself. There was more evidence last week that the consumer is feeling the squeeze and its having a knock-on effect for...
Retail sales fell in the first three months of the year, the first quarterly fall since 2013. With rising prices squeezing their incomes, it looks as if consumers have decided to tighten their belts....
It’s perhaps tempting fate to say that we’ve never had it so good when it comes to the performance of the job market but things certainly haven’t been so strong for decades.Strong....
Whether it’s booming car sales or rising job satisfaction the data says the UK is in a good place. Or maybe that’s the aftereffects of a sunny weekend…Service charge. Nine months on...
Triggering Article 50 was the starting pistol for the real Brexit negotiations, now the real work begins.Contrast. The UK Government’s formal declaration of our intention of exiting the EU was...