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The U.S. dollar underperformed against its major counterparts last week amid elevated risk appetite.
The economic docket for this week is fairly light, which is why our focus will be on the technical picture, rather than on the fundamental backdrop.
We got a bullish breakout with the pair exiting its recent downtrend channel and clearing the 1.14-resistance. The pair could now be creating a new short-term upward trend channel ranging from 1.15 to 1.13. Euro bulls that dream of a run for 1.16 should wait for an upside break above 1.1530. However, given the fact that the euro was a benefactor of broad U.S. dollar depreciation, rather than strength on its own merit, further gains might be on shaky ground. For bearish momentum to accelerate and drive the euro back into sell mode, we would need to see a break below 1.1250 but more importantly below 1.12.
While U.K. Premier minister Boris Johnson is facing a tough time, the pound benefits on a softer greenback and shows almost no reaction to a potential ousting of Boris Johnson. Since the pound posted an almost straight-lined upward movement, we expect a correction to happen soon. A break below 1.3650 could lead to a drop toward 1.36, a potential short-term support. We will then focus on a break below 1.3560 with a lower target seen at 1.35. On the upside and if the potential 1.36-support remains intact, the 1.38-mark could act as a resistance.
Our trading ideas for today: Long @1.3710, Short @1.3660. Secure some pips, max TP is 40 pips.
Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.
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