Gold
Everything has its limit - iron ore cannot be educated into gold.
Everything has its limit - iron ore cannot be educated into gold.
Overall Sentiment
- Global risk sentiment continues to undermine the threats from a potential all out war off the Korean peninsula
Speculative funds positioning
- Gross long liquidated their bullish exposure as gold tumbled lower – but speculative funds were reducing their holdings too – which suggest the complex is not ready to be bearish yet
Bullish perspective
- Recent price weakness may offer late longs a chance to enter the market again
Bearish perspective
- Dollar rebound and the overstretched gold rally has given bears room to work lower
- Q4 weakness cannot be rule out as the drums for a December rate hike boost the dollar and treasury yields
Conclusion
Gold continue to consolidate lower – we expect decent underlying support to appear near technical levels.
XAU/USD
Silver
If I have cash and I can't figure a way to put it into real estate or my business, I hold it in gold and silver.
Overall Sentiment
- Will the edge lower formed a potential inverse head and shoulder formation in silver? It has the left shoulder and the head already.
Speculative funds positioning
- A sizeable reduction in gross long position continue to suggest that selling pressure is likely to last in the short-term but shorts where seen covering as well
Bullish perspective
- Short-term chart suggest that the complex is starting to look oversold – CCI seems to agree
Bearish perspective
- Without further bullish catalysts – bears are currently in control and the price should remain under selling pressure
Conclusion
Will the price weakness attract fresh buying from speculative funds or will they rebuild their relatively low gross short position?
XAG/USD
Market moving events this week
- Further rhetoric either from President Trump or Kim Jong-un could unravel risk on sentiment
- Trumpflation revived thanks to tax reforms
- Global equity market continue to propel higher – despite at risk of a severe and very much overdue corrections
- Global tightening policies shared among central banks are taking shapes
SXP500
US Dollar Index
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