Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

Are we back in 2011 or what?After the US debt ceiling drama earlier this year, we just witnessed a rating agency downgrading the US exactly like in 2011 – back then S&P, this time...

The gap narrowed in July between the expected return for the Global Market Index (GMI), and its trailing 10-year realized performance. Today’s revised long-run forecast for GMI, a global,...

In reviewing financial commentary, Fisher Investments UK often finds arguments spiking oil prices spell trouble for equities, as consumers’ wallets tighten and companies’ costs rise....

Most of the major asset classes continued to rally in July, led by a surge in commodities based on a set of ETFs. US bonds, by contrast, remained the outlier, posting a third straight monthly...

Bank of Japan raises upper range of 10-year government bond yields to 1% Inflation remains high but not high enough for BOJ officials Meanwhile, Nikkei225 could still target new all-time highs Last...

Commodities have joined the party. After last week’s rally that lifted a broad measure of commodities, all the major asset classes are now posting gains for the year to date through...

The macroeconomic narrative shifts from recession to a soft landing.The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) data on Thursday. Although subject to...

While Washington continues a seemingly unbridled spending spree under the assumption “more spending” is better, debts and deficits matter. To better understand the impact of debt and...

Week Ahead July 31st - August 4thMON: Japanese Retail Sales (Jun), Chinese Official PMI (Jul), German Flash GDP (Q2), New Zealand Labour Cost Index (Q2) TUE: RBA Announcement, Chinese Caixin...

US: Business surveys expected to show a further contraction in manufacturing activityWe now have the best part of two months until the next Federal Reserve meeting, with the market seemingly content...

The latest GDP data for the US economy presented a positive surprise, as it increased by 2.4% instead of the expected 1.8%. This suggests that the economy is improving and may not face a recession,...

The Fed raised interest rates by 0.25%, as expected Fed Chair Powell expressed uncertainty about achieving the 2% inflation target by 2025 Meanwhile, markets fluctuated and closed with uncertainty...

Jerome Powell and his colleagues endlessly reassert their “higher for longer” plan for interest rates. They aim to weaken economic growth, bringing inflation back to pre-pandemic levels....

A 25bp hike looks likely in August Welcome news on UK inflation has taken a fair amount of pressure off the Bank of England to repeat the 50 basis point rate hike it implemented in June. Services...