Macro Investing Explained

Published 05/05/2022, 13:30

In this video, Anthony is joined by Mike Singleton, the founder and senior analyst at Invictus Research. Mike previously worked at Broad Run Investment Management, a private investment firm where he was responsible for leading investments of over $100mln in client capital.

Prior to that, he held investment management roles at Main Street Capital and T. Rowe Price. He is also a CFA charterholder and a member of the CFA Society of Washington, DC.

- Introduction (00:00)

- What do most investors struggle (2:05)

- Growth and inflation framework (3:50)

- The importance of the business cycle (7:40)

- The four economic regimes (8:56)

- Growth cycle and its implications (9:46)

- The relationship between markets and the economy (14:33)

- Equity sector performance over different economic regimes (17:33)

- Equity style factors (19:44)

- Investment risk spectrum (20:51)

- The importance of monetary policy (21:54)

- Confirmation from asset markets (24:32)

- Lessons from Stan Druckenmiller (26:58)

- The growth cycle drives trends (28:06)

- Why analyse positioning and sentiment? (29:38)

- Typical day in tracking markets for Mike (31:26)

- Thoughts on crypto (33:28)

- Where is the market in the four regimes? (36:40)

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