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Investors Nervous About Italy’s New Government

Published 01/06/2018, 12:22
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The FX market reacted little to the announcement of a coalition government in Italy. President Sergio Mattarella finally approved the list of ministers presented by Prime Minister Giuseppe Conti.

The single currency reported some modest gains against most of its peers. Obviously, safe haven currencies fell the most as the risk sentiment improved somewhat. The Japanese yen slid 0.30% against the single currency with EUR/JPY sliding to 127.50, while EUR/CHF consolidated around 1.1530.

On the other hand, the equity market’s reaction was sharper as the FTSE MIB surged 2.65% to 22,350 points. Italian banks were leading the charge with Banco Bpm (LON:0RLA) up 7.25%, Bper Banca (LON:0MU6) up 6.25% and UBI (LON:0LBN) rising 5.75%.

The new government is formed of Matteo Salvini (leader of the League) as interior and deputy prime minister, Luigi DI Maio (leader of the 5-star movement) as industry and deputy prime minister, Enzo Moavera Milanesi as foreign minister, Giovanni Tria as finance minister, Elisabetta Trenta as defence minister, while the eurosceptic economist Paolo Savona, who was refused as finance minister, will be in charge of EU affairs.

The government will be sworn in today. Italian sovereign yields continued to eased ahead of the weekend: the 2-Year fell to 0.74%, while the 10-Year one reached 2.60%.

Despite this good news, investors are not sleeping soundly yet. Indeed, the Italian government has a busy program and it is not exactly in line with what Brussels likes, especially in term of immigration and budget policy. Therefore, we expect that the market will not switch fully into risk-on mode, especially against the backdrop rising trade tensions between the US and EU – among other countries.

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